Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th Congressional District by defeating incumbent Dan Goldman in the June 2026 primary, consolidating support from progressive leaders including Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Senator Bernie Sanders. The district, encompassing Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles, with no competitive Republican primary or significant general-election polling shifts reported since June. Jennifer Moore, the Republican and Conservative Party nominee, faces structural barriers in this solidly Democratic seat. Trader consensus at 98.4% for Lander reflects these partisan fundamentals and the absence of late-breaking developments that could alter the outcome before the November 3 general election. Unlikely scenarios capable of narrowing the gap include a major candidate-specific scandal or an unprecedented national political realignment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-10 House Election Winner
NY-10 House Election Winner
$53,925 KL.
$53,925 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Brad Lander (D)
98%
Jennifer Moore (R)
<1%
$53,925 KL.
$53,925 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Brad Lander (D)
$16,749 KL.
98%
Jennifer Moore (R)
$37,175 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th Congressional District by defeating incumbent Dan Goldman in the June 2026 primary, consolidating support from progressive leaders including Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Senator Bernie Sanders. The district, encompassing Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles, with no competitive Republican primary or significant general-election polling shifts reported since June. Jennifer Moore, the Republican and Conservative Party nominee, faces structural barriers in this solidly Democratic seat. Trader consensus at 98.4% for Lander reflects these partisan fundamentals and the absence of late-breaking developments that could alter the outcome before the November 3 general election. Unlikely scenarios capable of narrowing the gap include a major candidate-specific scandal or an unprecedented national political realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Khối lượng
$53,925Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th Congressional District by defeating incumbent Dan Goldman in the June 2026 primary, consolidating support from progressive leaders including Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Senator Bernie Sanders. The district, encompassing Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles, with no competitive Republican primary or significant general-election polling shifts reported since June. Jennifer Moore, the Republican and Conservative Party nominee, faces structural barriers in this solidly Democratic seat. Trader consensus at 98.4% for Lander reflects these partisan fundamentals and the absence of late-breaking developments that could alter the outcome before the November 3 general election. Unlikely scenarios capable of narrowing the gap include a major candidate-specific scandal or an unprecedented national political realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$53,925Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th Congressional District by defeating incumbent Dan Goldman in the June 2026 primary, consolidating support from progressive leaders including Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Senator Bernie Sanders. The district, encompassing Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles, with no competitive Republican primary or significant general-election polling shifts reported since June. Jennifer Moore, the Republican and Conservative Party nominee, faces structural barriers in this solidly Democratic seat. Trader consensus at 98.4% for Lander reflects these partisan fundamentals and the absence of late-breaking developments that could alter the outcome before the November 3 general election. Unlikely scenarios capable of narrowing the gap include a major candidate-specific scandal or an unprecedented national political realignment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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