NY-10 encompasses Democratic strongholds in Brooklyn and Lower Manhattan, where the party has dominated recent House contests, including an 82% win for incumbent Dan Goldman in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and limited Republican infrastructure. Jennifer Moore advanced unopposed as the GOP nominee, while the June 23 Democratic primary between Goldman and Brad Lander will determine the nominee but is unlikely to alter the general-election trajectory. The 93% trader consensus on a Democratic winner aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for Republicans. A major scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unforeseen national wave could narrow margins, though such shifts remain rare in this district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-10 House Election Winner
NY-10 House Election Winner
$44,623 KL.
$44,623 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
2%
$44,623 KL.
$44,623 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,174 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$32,449 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-10 encompasses Democratic strongholds in Brooklyn and Lower Manhattan, where the party has dominated recent House contests, including an 82% win for incumbent Dan Goldman in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and limited Republican infrastructure. Jennifer Moore advanced unopposed as the GOP nominee, while the June 23 Democratic primary between Goldman and Brad Lander will determine the nominee but is unlikely to alter the general-election trajectory. The 93% trader consensus on a Democratic winner aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for Republicans. A major scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unforeseen national wave could narrow margins, though such shifts remain rare in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Khối lượng
$44,623Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-10 encompasses Democratic strongholds in Brooklyn and Lower Manhattan, where the party has dominated recent House contests, including an 82% win for incumbent Dan Goldman in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and limited Republican infrastructure. Jennifer Moore advanced unopposed as the GOP nominee, while the June 23 Democratic primary between Goldman and Brad Lander will determine the nominee but is unlikely to alter the general-election trajectory. The 93% trader consensus on a Democratic winner aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for Republicans. A major scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unforeseen national wave could narrow margins, though such shifts remain rare in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$44,623Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-10 encompasses Democratic strongholds in Brooklyn and Lower Manhattan, where the party has dominated recent House contests, including an 82% win for incumbent Dan Goldman in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and limited Republican infrastructure. Jennifer Moore advanced unopposed as the GOP nominee, while the June 23 Democratic primary between Goldman and Brad Lander will determine the nominee but is unlikely to alter the general-election trajectory. The 93% trader consensus on a Democratic winner aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for Republicans. A major scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unforeseen national wave could narrow margins, though such shifts remain rare in this district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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