Illinois's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential and statewide contests. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement opened the seat, but Democrat Daniel Biss secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary with endorsements from party figures and a plurality in a crowded field. Republican nominee John Elleson advanced from a smaller primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has elected Democrats for decades. Trader consensus pricing at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with race ratings classifying the contest as safe Democratic. Late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high third-party support could narrow margins, though the district's underlying partisan composition limits realistic paths to a Republican victory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIL-09 House Election Winner
IL-09 House Election Winner
$23,266 KL.
$23,266 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$23,266 KL.
$23,266 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,765 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$6,502 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential and statewide contests. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement opened the seat, but Democrat Daniel Biss secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary with endorsements from party figures and a plurality in a crowded field. Republican nominee John Elleson advanced from a smaller primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has elected Democrats for decades. Trader consensus pricing at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with race ratings classifying the contest as safe Democratic. Late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high third-party support could narrow margins, though the district's underlying partisan composition limits realistic paths to a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,266Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential and statewide contests. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement opened the seat, but Democrat Daniel Biss secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary with endorsements from party figures and a plurality in a crowded field. Republican nominee John Elleson advanced from a smaller primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has elected Democrats for decades. Trader consensus pricing at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with race ratings classifying the contest as safe Democratic. Late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high third-party support could narrow margins, though the district's underlying partisan composition limits realistic paths to a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$23,266Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential and statewide contests. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement opened the seat, but Democrat Daniel Biss secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary with endorsements from party figures and a plurality in a crowded field. Republican nominee John Elleson advanced from a smaller primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has elected Democrats for decades. Trader consensus pricing at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with race ratings classifying the contest as safe Democratic. Late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high third-party support could narrow margins, though the district's underlying partisan composition limits realistic paths to a Republican victory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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