Illinois's 9th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat following the March 2026 primaries, where Daniel Biss secured the nomination in an open race after longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky retired. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the district as solid or safe Democratic based on its Chicago-area demographics and consistent voting patterns in recent cycles. Republican nominee John Elleson faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have prevailed by wide margins historically. Trader consensus on platforms like Polymarket reflects these fundamentals, pricing in limited risk of an upset absent major late developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant scandals, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that alters turnout dynamics before the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIL-09 House Election Winner
IL-09 House Election Winner
$23,266 KL.
$23,266 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$23,266 KL.
$23,266 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,765 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$6,502 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 9th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat following the March 2026 primaries, where Daniel Biss secured the nomination in an open race after longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky retired. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the district as solid or safe Democratic based on its Chicago-area demographics and consistent voting patterns in recent cycles. Republican nominee John Elleson faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have prevailed by wide margins historically. Trader consensus on platforms like Polymarket reflects these fundamentals, pricing in limited risk of an upset absent major late developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant scandals, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that alters turnout dynamics before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,266Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 9th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat following the March 2026 primaries, where Daniel Biss secured the nomination in an open race after longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky retired. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the district as solid or safe Democratic based on its Chicago-area demographics and consistent voting patterns in recent cycles. Republican nominee John Elleson faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have prevailed by wide margins historically. Trader consensus on platforms like Polymarket reflects these fundamentals, pricing in limited risk of an upset absent major late developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant scandals, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that alters turnout dynamics before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$23,266Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 9th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat following the March 2026 primaries, where Daniel Biss secured the nomination in an open race after longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky retired. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the district as solid or safe Democratic based on its Chicago-area demographics and consistent voting patterns in recent cycles. Republican nominee John Elleson faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have prevailed by wide margins historically. Trader consensus on platforms like Polymarket reflects these fundamentals, pricing in limited risk of an upset absent major late developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant scandals, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that alters turnout dynamics before the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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