Illinois's 9th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. The March 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in Daniel Biss, backed by endorsements from retiring long-term incumbent Jan Schakowsky and other party figures, while Republicans nominated John Elleson after their primary. These elements have produced trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee by a wide margin ahead of the November general election. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national partisan shift, major candidate-specific developments, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this suburban Chicago-area seat.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIL-09 House Election Winner
$23,266 KL.
$23,266 KL.
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$23,266 KL.
$23,266 KL.
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 9th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. The March 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in Daniel Biss, backed by endorsements from retiring long-term incumbent Jan Schakowsky and other party figures, while Republicans nominated John Elleson after their primary. These elements have produced trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee by a wide margin ahead of the November general election. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national partisan shift, major candidate-specific developments, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this suburban Chicago-area seat.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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