Illinois's 9th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat following the retirement of longtime Representative Jan Schakowsky. Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election with endorsements from party leaders and established fundraising advantages. The district's consistent partisan lean, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 30 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Republican candidate John Elleson and any independent challengers face structural barriers including voter registration imbalances and limited recent success in similar suburban Chicago districts. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this safely blue territory suggest limited realistic paths for an upset.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIL-09 House Election Winner
IL-09 House Election Winner
$23,266 KL.
$23,266 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$23,266 KL.
$23,266 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,765 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$6,502 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 9th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat following the retirement of longtime Representative Jan Schakowsky. Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election with endorsements from party leaders and established fundraising advantages. The district's consistent partisan lean, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 30 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Republican candidate John Elleson and any independent challengers face structural barriers including voter registration imbalances and limited recent success in similar suburban Chicago districts. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this safely blue territory suggest limited realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,266Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 9th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat following the retirement of longtime Representative Jan Schakowsky. Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election with endorsements from party leaders and established fundraising advantages. The district's consistent partisan lean, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 30 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Republican candidate John Elleson and any independent challengers face structural barriers including voter registration imbalances and limited recent success in similar suburban Chicago districts. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this safely blue territory suggest limited realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$23,266Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 9th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat following the retirement of longtime Representative Jan Schakowsky. Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election with endorsements from party leaders and established fundraising advantages. The district's consistent partisan lean, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 30 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Republican candidate John Elleson and any independent challengers face structural barriers including voter registration imbalances and limited recent success in similar suburban Chicago districts. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this safely blue territory suggest limited realistic paths for an upset.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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