Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss's victory in the crowded March 17 Democratic primary solidified the party's nominee for the open IL-09 House seat vacated by retiring Rep. Jan Schakowsky, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 92.5% amid the district's entrenched D+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and history of lopsided general election margins exceeding 68% for Democrats in recent cycles. Republican nominee John Elleson advanced from a low-turnout primary, underscoring the uphill battle in this Chicago North Shore stronghold where Biden carried 68% in 2024. While Solid Democrat per Cook Political Report, odds could shift with a major Biss scandal, national GOP midterm wave, or depressed Democratic turnout ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIL-09 House Election Winner
IL-09 House Election Winner
$14,943 KL.
$14,943 KL.
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$14,943 KL.
$14,943 KL.
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss's victory in the crowded March 17 Democratic primary solidified the party's nominee for the open IL-09 House seat vacated by retiring Rep. Jan Schakowsky, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 92.5% amid the district's entrenched D+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and history of lopsided general election margins exceeding 68% for Democrats in recent cycles. Republican nominee John Elleson advanced from a low-turnout primary, underscoring the uphill battle in this Chicago North Shore stronghold where Biden carried 68% in 2024. While Solid Democrat per Cook Political Report, odds could shift with a major Biss scandal, national GOP midterm wave, or depressed Democratic turnout ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp