Redistricting through Proposition 50 shifted California’s 48th congressional district leftward by incorporating Democratic-leaning areas around Palm Springs and trimming Republican strongholds east of San Diego, creating a seat that would have supported Kamala Harris by a narrow margin in 2024. Longtime Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired in March 2026 and endorsed San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond, leaving an open race rated Lean Democrat by the Cook Political Report. The June 2 nonpartisan primary features a crowded Democratic field against fewer Republicans, but the district’s updated partisan composition and voter registration edge position Democratic nominees as strong general-election favorites in November. Trader consensus at 85 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with this structural shift and the absence of an entrenched incumbent.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-48 House Election Winner
CA-48 House Election Winner
$10,935 KL.
$10,935 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
85%
Republican Party
12%
$10,935 KL.
$10,935 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,867 KL.
85%
Republican Party
$5,068 KL.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting through Proposition 50 shifted California’s 48th congressional district leftward by incorporating Democratic-leaning areas around Palm Springs and trimming Republican strongholds east of San Diego, creating a seat that would have supported Kamala Harris by a narrow margin in 2024. Longtime Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired in March 2026 and endorsed San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond, leaving an open race rated Lean Democrat by the Cook Political Report. The June 2 nonpartisan primary features a crowded Democratic field against fewer Republicans, but the district’s updated partisan composition and voter registration edge position Democratic nominees as strong general-election favorites in November. Trader consensus at 85 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with this structural shift and the absence of an entrenched incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,935Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting through Proposition 50 shifted California’s 48th congressional district leftward by incorporating Democratic-leaning areas around Palm Springs and trimming Republican strongholds east of San Diego, creating a seat that would have supported Kamala Harris by a narrow margin in 2024. Longtime Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired in March 2026 and endorsed San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond, leaving an open race rated Lean Democrat by the Cook Political Report. The June 2 nonpartisan primary features a crowded Democratic field against fewer Republicans, but the district’s updated partisan composition and voter registration edge position Democratic nominees as strong general-election favorites in November. Trader consensus at 85 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with this structural shift and the absence of an entrenched incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$10,935Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting through Proposition 50 shifted California’s 48th congressional district leftward by incorporating Democratic-leaning areas around Palm Springs and trimming Republican strongholds east of San Diego, creating a seat that would have supported Kamala Harris by a narrow margin in 2024. Longtime Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired in March 2026 and endorsed San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond, leaving an open race rated Lean Democrat by the Cook Political Report. The June 2 nonpartisan primary features a crowded Democratic field against fewer Republicans, but the district’s updated partisan composition and voter registration edge position Democratic nominees as strong general-election favorites in November. Trader consensus at 85 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with this structural shift and the absence of an entrenched incumbent.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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