California's 7th congressional district features a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Doris Matsui advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside fellow Democrat Mai Vang, with both securing spots in the November general election under California's primary rules. No Republican candidate reached the general, leaving the outcome between two Democratic contenders. This structure, combined with the district's voter registration patterns and historical turnout, has produced trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at over 96 percent. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in registration, turnout, or candidate withdrawal before November 3, 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-07 House Election Winner
CA-07 House Election Winner
$12,622 KL.
$12,622 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$12,622 KL.
$12,622 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,634 KL.
96%
Republican Party
$5,988 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 7th congressional district features a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Doris Matsui advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside fellow Democrat Mai Vang, with both securing spots in the November general election under California's primary rules. No Republican candidate reached the general, leaving the outcome between two Democratic contenders. This structure, combined with the district's voter registration patterns and historical turnout, has produced trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at over 96 percent. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in registration, turnout, or candidate withdrawal before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Khối lượng
$12,622Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 7th congressional district features a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Doris Matsui advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside fellow Democrat Mai Vang, with both securing spots in the November general election under California's primary rules. No Republican candidate reached the general, leaving the outcome between two Democratic contenders. This structure, combined with the district's voter registration patterns and historical turnout, has produced trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at over 96 percent. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in registration, turnout, or candidate withdrawal before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$12,622Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 7th congressional district features a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Doris Matsui advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside fellow Democrat Mai Vang, with both securing spots in the November general election under California's primary rules. No Republican candidate reached the general, leaving the outcome between two Democratic contenders. This structure, combined with the district's voter registration patterns and historical turnout, has produced trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at over 96 percent. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in registration, turnout, or candidate withdrawal before November 3, 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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