California's 7th congressional district remains a longstanding Democratic stronghold centered in the Sacramento area, where incumbent Representative Doris Matsui has secured repeated victories with strong margins, most recently exceeding 66 percent in 2024. The district's voter composition and recent redistricting under the state-approved map have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects limited Republican infrastructure and candidate recruitment, with only two GOP contenders declared for the June 2 top-two primary. A narrow path to upset could emerge from an unusually strong national Republican wave or an unexpected primary outcome that produces a weaker Democratic general-election candidate, though historical turnout patterns and fundraising gaps make such shifts improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-07 House Election Winner
CA-07 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
9%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,855 KL.
92%
Republican Party
$715 KL.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 7th congressional district remains a longstanding Democratic stronghold centered in the Sacramento area, where incumbent Representative Doris Matsui has secured repeated victories with strong margins, most recently exceeding 66 percent in 2024. The district's voter composition and recent redistricting under the state-approved map have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects limited Republican infrastructure and candidate recruitment, with only two GOP contenders declared for the June 2 top-two primary. A narrow path to upset could emerge from an unusually strong national Republican wave or an unexpected primary outcome that produces a weaker Democratic general-election candidate, though historical turnout patterns and fundraising gaps make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,569Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 7th congressional district remains a longstanding Democratic stronghold centered in the Sacramento area, where incumbent Representative Doris Matsui has secured repeated victories with strong margins, most recently exceeding 66 percent in 2024. The district's voter composition and recent redistricting under the state-approved map have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects limited Republican infrastructure and candidate recruitment, with only two GOP contenders declared for the June 2 top-two primary. A narrow path to upset could emerge from an unusually strong national Republican wave or an unexpected primary outcome that produces a weaker Democratic general-election candidate, though historical turnout patterns and fundraising gaps make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$2,569Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 7th congressional district remains a longstanding Democratic stronghold centered in the Sacramento area, where incumbent Representative Doris Matsui has secured repeated victories with strong margins, most recently exceeding 66 percent in 2024. The district's voter composition and recent redistricting under the state-approved map have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects limited Republican infrastructure and candidate recruitment, with only two GOP contenders declared for the June 2 top-two primary. A narrow path to upset could emerge from an unusually strong national Republican wave or an unexpected primary outcome that produces a weaker Democratic general-election candidate, though historical turnout patterns and fundraising gaps make such shifts improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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