California’s 36th congressional district features a strong Democratic partisan lean exceeding D+20, anchored in affluent coastal Los Angeles areas including Westwood and UCLA. Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu faces the June 2, 2026 primary against several Democratic challengers and limited Republican opposition before the November general election. This structural advantage, combined with Lieu’s consistent reelection margins above 65 percent in prior cycles and the absence of competitive Republican recruitment or polling shifts, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail. No recent events, such as candidate announcements or district-specific developments in the past month, have altered this positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-36 House Election Winner
CA-36 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
6%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,341 KL.
89%
Republican Party
$4,397 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 36th congressional district features a strong Democratic partisan lean exceeding D+20, anchored in affluent coastal Los Angeles areas including Westwood and UCLA. Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu faces the June 2, 2026 primary against several Democratic challengers and limited Republican opposition before the November general election. This structural advantage, combined with Lieu’s consistent reelection margins above 65 percent in prior cycles and the absence of competitive Republican recruitment or polling shifts, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail. No recent events, such as candidate announcements or district-specific developments in the past month, have altered this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,738Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 36th congressional district features a strong Democratic partisan lean exceeding D+20, anchored in affluent coastal Los Angeles areas including Westwood and UCLA. Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu faces the June 2, 2026 primary against several Democratic challengers and limited Republican opposition before the November general election. This structural advantage, combined with Lieu’s consistent reelection margins above 65 percent in prior cycles and the absence of competitive Republican recruitment or polling shifts, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail. No recent events, such as candidate announcements or district-specific developments in the past month, have altered this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$9,738Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 36th congressional district features a strong Democratic partisan lean exceeding D+20, anchored in affluent coastal Los Angeles areas including Westwood and UCLA. Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu faces the June 2, 2026 primary against several Democratic challengers and limited Republican opposition before the November general election. This structural advantage, combined with Lieu’s consistent reelection margins above 65 percent in prior cycles and the absence of competitive Republican recruitment or polling shifts, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail. No recent events, such as candidate announcements or district-specific developments in the past month, have altered this positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp