Maxine Waters secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary for California's 43rd congressional district with roughly 63 percent of the vote, advancing against Republican Cristian Morales in the solidly Democratic seat she has held since 1991. The district's consistent partisan tilt, reflected in repeated double-digit margins and nonpartisan ratings of Solid Democratic, underpins trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability. Morales captured the top Republican spot but faces structural barriers in a Los Angeles County area that has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Late developments such as candidate withdrawal, significant health events, or an unexpected national political realignment remain the primary factors that could still alter the general-election outcome on November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-43 House Election Winner
CA-43 House Election Winner
$24,059 KL.
$24,059 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$24,059 KL.
$24,059 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,491 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$14,567 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maxine Waters secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary for California's 43rd congressional district with roughly 63 percent of the vote, advancing against Republican Cristian Morales in the solidly Democratic seat she has held since 1991. The district's consistent partisan tilt, reflected in repeated double-digit margins and nonpartisan ratings of Solid Democratic, underpins trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability. Morales captured the top Republican spot but faces structural barriers in a Los Angeles County area that has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Late developments such as candidate withdrawal, significant health events, or an unexpected national political realignment remain the primary factors that could still alter the general-election outcome on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$24,059Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maxine Waters secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary for California's 43rd congressional district with roughly 63 percent of the vote, advancing against Republican Cristian Morales in the solidly Democratic seat she has held since 1991. The district's consistent partisan tilt, reflected in repeated double-digit margins and nonpartisan ratings of Solid Democratic, underpins trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability. Morales captured the top Republican spot but faces structural barriers in a Los Angeles County area that has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Late developments such as candidate withdrawal, significant health events, or an unexpected national political realignment remain the primary factors that could still alter the general-election outcome on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$24,059Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maxine Waters secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary for California's 43rd congressional district with roughly 63 percent of the vote, advancing against Republican Cristian Morales in the solidly Democratic seat she has held since 1991. The district's consistent partisan tilt, reflected in repeated double-digit margins and nonpartisan ratings of Solid Democratic, underpins trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability. Morales captured the top Republican spot but faces structural barriers in a Los Angeles County area that has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Late developments such as candidate withdrawal, significant health events, or an unexpected national political realignment remain the primary factors that could still alter the general-election outcome on November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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