Incumbent Republican Jim Baird's commanding position in the safely Republican IN-04 district, rated R+15 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus at 91% for a GOP House election win on November 3, 2026. Baird, a Vietnam veteran seeking a fifth term after 2024's 65% victory, holds advantages from President Trump's endorsement, NRA support, and superior fundraising ($272K raised vs. challengers like state Rep. Craig Haggard), as shown in March financials. A crowded eight-candidate Democratic primary signals weak opposition in this GOP-held seat for over three decades. The May 5 primary could test Baird against Haggard and others, but scandals, a national Democratic wave, or an upset nominee would be needed to challenge the odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIN-04 House Election Winner
IN-04 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$0 KL.
91%
Democratic Party
$80 KL.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jim Baird's commanding position in the safely Republican IN-04 district, rated R+15 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus at 91% for a GOP House election win on November 3, 2026. Baird, a Vietnam veteran seeking a fifth term after 2024's 65% victory, holds advantages from President Trump's endorsement, NRA support, and superior fundraising ($272K raised vs. challengers like state Rep. Craig Haggard), as shown in March financials. A crowded eight-candidate Democratic primary signals weak opposition in this GOP-held seat for over three decades. The May 5 primary could test Baird against Haggard and others, but scandals, a national Democratic wave, or an upset nominee would be needed to challenge the odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$80Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jim Baird's commanding position in the safely Republican IN-04 district, rated R+15 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus at 91% for a GOP House election win on November 3, 2026. Baird, a Vietnam veteran seeking a fifth term after 2024's 65% victory, holds advantages from President Trump's endorsement, NRA support, and superior fundraising ($272K raised vs. challengers like state Rep. Craig Haggard), as shown in March financials. A crowded eight-candidate Democratic primary signals weak opposition in this GOP-held seat for over three decades. The May 5 primary could test Baird against Haggard and others, but scandals, a national Democratic wave, or an upset nominee would be needed to challenge the odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$80Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jim Baird's commanding position in the safely Republican IN-04 district, rated R+15 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus at 91% for a GOP House election win on November 3, 2026. Baird, a Vietnam veteran seeking a fifth term after 2024's 65% victory, holds advantages from President Trump's endorsement, NRA support, and superior fundraising ($272K raised vs. challengers like state Rep. Craig Haggard), as shown in March financials. A crowded eight-candidate Democratic primary signals weak opposition in this GOP-held seat for over three decades. The May 5 primary could test Baird against Haggard and others, but scandals, a national Democratic wave, or an upset nominee would be needed to challenge the odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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