Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district due to its substantial Democratic voter registration advantage, consistent performance in prior cycles, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. The district’s South Jersey composition, anchored by Camden and Cherry Hill, has delivered double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent House races. Norcross secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Damon Galdo, making his third bid, faces limited resources and structural headwinds. Forecasters cite stable partisan leanings and fundraising gaps as key stabilizers of current trader consensus. A national political shift of historic scale or late-emerging developments involving either candidate could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the district’s baseline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNJ-01 House Election Winner
NJ-01 House Election Winner
$43,573 KL.
$43,573 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$43,573 KL.
$43,573 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$26,945 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$16,628 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district due to its substantial Democratic voter registration advantage, consistent performance in prior cycles, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. The district’s South Jersey composition, anchored by Camden and Cherry Hill, has delivered double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent House races. Norcross secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Damon Galdo, making his third bid, faces limited resources and structural headwinds. Forecasters cite stable partisan leanings and fundraising gaps as key stabilizers of current trader consensus. A national political shift of historic scale or late-emerging developments involving either candidate could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the district’s baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$43,573Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district due to its substantial Democratic voter registration advantage, consistent performance in prior cycles, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. The district’s South Jersey composition, anchored by Camden and Cherry Hill, has delivered double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent House races. Norcross secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Damon Galdo, making his third bid, faces limited resources and structural headwinds. Forecasters cite stable partisan leanings and fundraising gaps as key stabilizers of current trader consensus. A national political shift of historic scale or late-emerging developments involving either candidate could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the district’s baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$43,573Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district due to its substantial Democratic voter registration advantage, consistent performance in prior cycles, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. The district’s South Jersey composition, anchored by Camden and Cherry Hill, has delivered double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent House races. Norcross secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Damon Galdo, making his third bid, faces limited resources and structural headwinds. Forecasters cite stable partisan leanings and fundraising gaps as key stabilizers of current trader consensus. A national political shift of historic scale or late-emerging developments involving either candidate could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the district’s baseline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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