Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds a modest edge in the PA-01 contest against Democrat Bob Harvie ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district's suburban Philadelphia footprint, which includes competitive Bucks County precincts, has produced narrow margins in recent cycles, and Fitzpatrick's moderate voting record has historically broadened his appeal beyond the GOP base. Harvie's primary win and background as a Bucks County commissioner position him to consolidate Democratic turnout, yet early fundraising and name recognition favor the sitting member. National midterm headwinds for the president's party and Pennsylvania's swing-state dynamics keep the race within a narrow band, with polling averages and forecaster ratings clustered near the tossup or lean-Republican line. Late-cycle developments such as congressional approval trends, targeted advertising, or turnout shifts in key suburbs could widen the gap before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPA-01 House Election Winner
PA-01 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
53%
Democratic Party
45%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$2,001 KL.
53%
Democratic Party
$1,418 KL.
45%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds a modest edge in the PA-01 contest against Democrat Bob Harvie ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district's suburban Philadelphia footprint, which includes competitive Bucks County precincts, has produced narrow margins in recent cycles, and Fitzpatrick's moderate voting record has historically broadened his appeal beyond the GOP base. Harvie's primary win and background as a Bucks County commissioner position him to consolidate Democratic turnout, yet early fundraising and name recognition favor the sitting member. National midterm headwinds for the president's party and Pennsylvania's swing-state dynamics keep the race within a narrow band, with polling averages and forecaster ratings clustered near the tossup or lean-Republican line. Late-cycle developments such as congressional approval trends, targeted advertising, or turnout shifts in key suburbs could widen the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,419Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds a modest edge in the PA-01 contest against Democrat Bob Harvie ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district's suburban Philadelphia footprint, which includes competitive Bucks County precincts, has produced narrow margins in recent cycles, and Fitzpatrick's moderate voting record has historically broadened his appeal beyond the GOP base. Harvie's primary win and background as a Bucks County commissioner position him to consolidate Democratic turnout, yet early fundraising and name recognition favor the sitting member. National midterm headwinds for the president's party and Pennsylvania's swing-state dynamics keep the race within a narrow band, with polling averages and forecaster ratings clustered near the tossup or lean-Republican line. Late-cycle developments such as congressional approval trends, targeted advertising, or turnout shifts in key suburbs could widen the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$3,419Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds a modest edge in the PA-01 contest against Democrat Bob Harvie ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district's suburban Philadelphia footprint, which includes competitive Bucks County precincts, has produced narrow margins in recent cycles, and Fitzpatrick's moderate voting record has historically broadened his appeal beyond the GOP base. Harvie's primary win and background as a Bucks County commissioner position him to consolidate Democratic turnout, yet early fundraising and name recognition favor the sitting member. National midterm headwinds for the president's party and Pennsylvania's swing-state dynamics keep the race within a narrow band, with polling averages and forecaster ratings clustered near the tossup or lean-Republican line. Late-cycle developments such as congressional approval trends, targeted advertising, or turnout shifts in key suburbs could widen the gap before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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