Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone's commanding position in New Jersey's 6th Congressional District drives trader consensus at 90.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting his long tenure since 1988, consistent general election margins above 56% in recent cycles, and dominant fundraising with over $3.4 million cash on hand as of late March. The district's D+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and ratings as Solid Democratic by forecasters like Cook Political Report underscore the structural advantage, amplified by a weak Republican field headlined by sole primary filer Hillary Herzig, who reports no fundraising. Final candidate lists were set after the March 23 filing deadline, with Pallone facing underfunded Democratic primary challengers Katie Bansil and John Hsu ahead of the June 2 primaries. Scenarios to shift odds include a primary upset, GOP recruitment of a stronger contender, or unforeseen scandal, though historical base rates favor incumbents in safe seats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNJ-06 House Election Winner
NJ-06 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
10%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,401 KL.
91%
Republican Party
$1,330 KL.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone's commanding position in New Jersey's 6th Congressional District drives trader consensus at 90.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting his long tenure since 1988, consistent general election margins above 56% in recent cycles, and dominant fundraising with over $3.4 million cash on hand as of late March. The district's D+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and ratings as Solid Democratic by forecasters like Cook Political Report underscore the structural advantage, amplified by a weak Republican field headlined by sole primary filer Hillary Herzig, who reports no fundraising. Final candidate lists were set after the March 23 filing deadline, with Pallone facing underfunded Democratic primary challengers Katie Bansil and John Hsu ahead of the June 2 primaries. Scenarios to shift odds include a primary upset, GOP recruitment of a stronger contender, or unforeseen scandal, though historical base rates favor incumbents in safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,732Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone's commanding position in New Jersey's 6th Congressional District drives trader consensus at 90.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting his long tenure since 1988, consistent general election margins above 56% in recent cycles, and dominant fundraising with over $3.4 million cash on hand as of late March. The district's D+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and ratings as Solid Democratic by forecasters like Cook Political Report underscore the structural advantage, amplified by a weak Republican field headlined by sole primary filer Hillary Herzig, who reports no fundraising. Final candidate lists were set after the March 23 filing deadline, with Pallone facing underfunded Democratic primary challengers Katie Bansil and John Hsu ahead of the June 2 primaries. Scenarios to shift odds include a primary upset, GOP recruitment of a stronger contender, or unforeseen scandal, though historical base rates favor incumbents in safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$2,732Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone's commanding position in New Jersey's 6th Congressional District drives trader consensus at 90.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting his long tenure since 1988, consistent general election margins above 56% in recent cycles, and dominant fundraising with over $3.4 million cash on hand as of late March. The district's D+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and ratings as Solid Democratic by forecasters like Cook Political Report underscore the structural advantage, amplified by a weak Republican field headlined by sole primary filer Hillary Herzig, who reports no fundraising. Final candidate lists were set after the March 23 filing deadline, with Pallone facing underfunded Democratic primary challengers Katie Bansil and John Hsu ahead of the June 2 primaries. Scenarios to shift odds include a primary upset, GOP recruitment of a stronger contender, or unforeseen scandal, though historical base rates favor incumbents in safe seats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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