Maryland’s 3rd congressional district maintains a D+12 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles that places it among the party’s safer House seats. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth, first elected in 2024, faces a June 23 primary against several challengers while all major forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising, combined with the district’s urban and suburban composition across Howard, Anne Arundel, and Carroll counties, have kept opposition prospects minimal. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or broader national Republican surge could still narrow the margin in the final months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMD-03 House Election Winner
MD-03 House Election Winner
$27,266 KL.
$27,266 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$27,266 KL.
$27,266 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$20,444 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$6,822 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 3rd congressional district maintains a D+12 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles that places it among the party’s safer House seats. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth, first elected in 2024, faces a June 23 primary against several challengers while all major forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising, combined with the district’s urban and suburban composition across Howard, Anne Arundel, and Carroll counties, have kept opposition prospects minimal. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or broader national Republican surge could still narrow the margin in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$27,266Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 3rd congressional district maintains a D+12 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles that places it among the party’s safer House seats. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth, first elected in 2024, faces a June 23 primary against several challengers while all major forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising, combined with the district’s urban and suburban composition across Howard, Anne Arundel, and Carroll counties, have kept opposition prospects minimal. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or broader national Republican surge could still narrow the margin in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$27,266Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 3rd congressional district maintains a D+12 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles that places it among the party’s safer House seats. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth, first elected in 2024, faces a June 23 primary against several challengers while all major forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising, combined with the district’s urban and suburban composition across Howard, Anne Arundel, and Carroll counties, have kept opposition prospects minimal. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or broader national Republican surge could still narrow the margin in the final months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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