Maryland’s 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic stronghold centered in Prince George’s County suburbs, where registered Democrats vastly outnumber Republicans and turnout patterns favor the party in both primaries and generals. Incumbent Glenn Ivey secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote, underscoring unified party support ahead of the November general election against Republican nominee George McDermott. Historical results reinforce the positioning, including Ivey’s 88 percent share in 2024. Trader consensus at 97 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural advantages and the absence of credible opposition. A late scandal, health issue, or unexpected national wave shifting local voting behavior could theoretically narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability events given the district’s consistent partisan baseline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMD-04 House Election Winner
MD-04 House Election Winner
$45,117 KL.
$45,117 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
2%
$45,117 KL.
$45,117 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$19,920 KL.
97%
Republican Party
$25,197 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic stronghold centered in Prince George’s County suburbs, where registered Democrats vastly outnumber Republicans and turnout patterns favor the party in both primaries and generals. Incumbent Glenn Ivey secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote, underscoring unified party support ahead of the November general election against Republican nominee George McDermott. Historical results reinforce the positioning, including Ivey’s 88 percent share in 2024. Trader consensus at 97 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural advantages and the absence of credible opposition. A late scandal, health issue, or unexpected national wave shifting local voting behavior could theoretically narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability events given the district’s consistent partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$45,117Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic stronghold centered in Prince George’s County suburbs, where registered Democrats vastly outnumber Republicans and turnout patterns favor the party in both primaries and generals. Incumbent Glenn Ivey secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote, underscoring unified party support ahead of the November general election against Republican nominee George McDermott. Historical results reinforce the positioning, including Ivey’s 88 percent share in 2024. Trader consensus at 97 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural advantages and the absence of credible opposition. A late scandal, health issue, or unexpected national wave shifting local voting behavior could theoretically narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability events given the district’s consistent partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$45,117Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic stronghold centered in Prince George’s County suburbs, where registered Democrats vastly outnumber Republicans and turnout patterns favor the party in both primaries and generals. Incumbent Glenn Ivey secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote, underscoring unified party support ahead of the November general election against Republican nominee George McDermott. Historical results reinforce the positioning, including Ivey’s 88 percent share in 2024. Trader consensus at 97 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural advantages and the absence of credible opposition. A late scandal, health issue, or unexpected national wave shifting local voting behavior could theoretically narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability events given the district’s consistent partisan baseline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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