Maryland’s 4th congressional district, encompassing heavily Democratic suburbs in Prince George’s County, has delivered consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 88% share in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. Incumbent Glenn Ivey faces a crowded June 23 primary against several challengers, yet the general-election outcome on November 3 remains the decisive factor for traders. The Republican nominee, George McDermott, lacks the fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible challenge in this environment. Only an unforeseen development such as a late scandal involving the eventual Democratic nominee or an unusually large turnout shift could realistically alter the current trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMD-04 House Election Winner
MD-04 House Election Winner
$27,357 KL.
$27,357 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
6%
$27,357 KL.
$27,357 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,107 KL.
92%
Republican Party
$19,251 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 4th congressional district, encompassing heavily Democratic suburbs in Prince George’s County, has delivered consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 88% share in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. Incumbent Glenn Ivey faces a crowded June 23 primary against several challengers, yet the general-election outcome on November 3 remains the decisive factor for traders. The Republican nominee, George McDermott, lacks the fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible challenge in this environment. Only an unforeseen development such as a late scandal involving the eventual Democratic nominee or an unusually large turnout shift could realistically alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$27,357Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 4th congressional district, encompassing heavily Democratic suburbs in Prince George’s County, has delivered consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 88% share in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. Incumbent Glenn Ivey faces a crowded June 23 primary against several challengers, yet the general-election outcome on November 3 remains the decisive factor for traders. The Republican nominee, George McDermott, lacks the fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible challenge in this environment. Only an unforeseen development such as a late scandal involving the eventual Democratic nominee or an unusually large turnout shift could realistically alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$27,357Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 4th congressional district, encompassing heavily Democratic suburbs in Prince George’s County, has delivered consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 88% share in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. Incumbent Glenn Ivey faces a crowded June 23 primary against several challengers, yet the general-election outcome on November 3 remains the decisive factor for traders. The Republican nominee, George McDermott, lacks the fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible challenge in this environment. Only an unforeseen development such as a late scandal involving the eventual Democratic nominee or an unusually large turnout shift could realistically alter the current trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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