Incumbent Glenn Ivey's commanding position in Maryland's 4th congressional district stems from the area's consistent Democratic lean, demonstrated by prior presidential margins exceeding 25 points, combined with his strong primary performance securing roughly 79 percent of the Democratic vote in June 2026. The Republican nominee, George McDermott, advanced unopposed, limiting opposition resources and visibility ahead of the November general election. Forecasting models rate the contest as solidly Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that incorporates incumbency protections, fundraising patterns, and historical turnout in this Prince George's and Montgomery County district. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-breaking scandals, significant health developments, or abrupt national political shifts, though such factors have rarely overcome structural advantages in comparable races.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMD-04 House Election Winner
MD-04 House Election Winner
$47,101 KL.
$47,101 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Glenn Ivey (D)
97%
George McDermott (R)
<1%
$47,101 KL.
$47,101 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Glenn Ivey (D)
$21,397 KL.
97%
George McDermott (R)
$25,705 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Glenn Ivey's commanding position in Maryland's 4th congressional district stems from the area's consistent Democratic lean, demonstrated by prior presidential margins exceeding 25 points, combined with his strong primary performance securing roughly 79 percent of the Democratic vote in June 2026. The Republican nominee, George McDermott, advanced unopposed, limiting opposition resources and visibility ahead of the November general election. Forecasting models rate the contest as solidly Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that incorporates incumbency protections, fundraising patterns, and historical turnout in this Prince George's and Montgomery County district. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-breaking scandals, significant health developments, or abrupt national political shifts, though such factors have rarely overcome structural advantages in comparable races.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$47,101Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Glenn Ivey's commanding position in Maryland's 4th congressional district stems from the area's consistent Democratic lean, demonstrated by prior presidential margins exceeding 25 points, combined with his strong primary performance securing roughly 79 percent of the Democratic vote in June 2026. The Republican nominee, George McDermott, advanced unopposed, limiting opposition resources and visibility ahead of the November general election. Forecasting models rate the contest as solidly Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that incorporates incumbency protections, fundraising patterns, and historical turnout in this Prince George's and Montgomery County district. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-breaking scandals, significant health developments, or abrupt national political shifts, though such factors have rarely overcome structural advantages in comparable races.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$47,101Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Glenn Ivey's commanding position in Maryland's 4th congressional district stems from the area's consistent Democratic lean, demonstrated by prior presidential margins exceeding 25 points, combined with his strong primary performance securing roughly 79 percent of the Democratic vote in June 2026. The Republican nominee, George McDermott, advanced unopposed, limiting opposition resources and visibility ahead of the November general election. Forecasting models rate the contest as solidly Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that incorporates incumbency protections, fundraising patterns, and historical turnout in this Prince George's and Montgomery County district. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-breaking scandals, significant health developments, or abrupt national political shifts, though such factors have rarely overcome structural advantages in comparable races.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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