Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota seeks re-election in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. LaLota advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled, while the Democratic primary on June 23 features limited-name-recognition candidates with modest fundraising. The district’s partisan voting index favors Republicans, and Democrats have signaled little investment in flipping the seat amid stronger opportunities elsewhere. Traders assign the Republican Party a 60.5% implied probability of holding the seat in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the incumbent’s structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would narrow the gap.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-01 House Election Winner
NY-01 House Election Winner
$30,702 KL.
$30,702 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
57%
Democratic Party
42%
$30,702 KL.
$30,702 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,094 KL.
57%
Democratic Party
$21,609 KL.
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota seeks re-election in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. LaLota advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled, while the Democratic primary on June 23 features limited-name-recognition candidates with modest fundraising. The district’s partisan voting index favors Republicans, and Democrats have signaled little investment in flipping the seat amid stronger opportunities elsewhere. Traders assign the Republican Party a 60.5% implied probability of holding the seat in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the incumbent’s structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Khối lượng
$30,702Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota seeks re-election in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. LaLota advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled, while the Democratic primary on June 23 features limited-name-recognition candidates with modest fundraising. The district’s partisan voting index favors Republicans, and Democrats have signaled little investment in flipping the seat amid stronger opportunities elsewhere. Traders assign the Republican Party a 60.5% implied probability of holding the seat in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the incumbent’s structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$30,702Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota seeks re-election in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. LaLota advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled, while the Democratic primary on June 23 features limited-name-recognition candidates with modest fundraising. The district’s partisan voting index favors Republicans, and Democrats have signaled little investment in flipping the seat amid stronger opportunities elsewhere. Traders assign the Republican Party a 60.5% implied probability of holding the seat in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the incumbent’s structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would narrow the gap.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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