Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 62.5% to retain New York's 1st Congressional District, driven by incumbent Rep. Nick LaLota's strong position in a Solid Republican-rated seat per the Cook Political Report's unchanged April 7 assessment, reflecting the district's partisan lean and historical voting patterns favoring GOP candidates. Early January polls from Democratic-aligned groups like House Majority PAC portrayed LaLota as vulnerable against challengers such as Chris Gallant, but these have not shifted market odds amid a fragmented Democratic primary field ahead of the June 23 contest. No major developments in the past 30 days, including recent LaLota advocacy for voter ID requirements, have altered the trajectory, underscoring incumbency advantages and limited Democratic investment priorities elsewhere.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-01 House Election Winner
NY-01 House Election Winner
$13,891 KL.
$13,891 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
63%
Democratic Party
30%
$13,891 KL.
$13,891 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,356 KL.
63%
Democratic Party
$9,535 KL.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 62.5% to retain New York's 1st Congressional District, driven by incumbent Rep. Nick LaLota's strong position in a Solid Republican-rated seat per the Cook Political Report's unchanged April 7 assessment, reflecting the district's partisan lean and historical voting patterns favoring GOP candidates. Early January polls from Democratic-aligned groups like House Majority PAC portrayed LaLota as vulnerable against challengers such as Chris Gallant, but these have not shifted market odds amid a fragmented Democratic primary field ahead of the June 23 contest. No major developments in the past 30 days, including recent LaLota advocacy for voter ID requirements, have altered the trajectory, underscoring incumbency advantages and limited Democratic investment priorities elsewhere.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Khối lượng
$13,891Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 62.5% to retain New York's 1st Congressional District, driven by incumbent Rep. Nick LaLota's strong position in a Solid Republican-rated seat per the Cook Political Report's unchanged April 7 assessment, reflecting the district's partisan lean and historical voting patterns favoring GOP candidates. Early January polls from Democratic-aligned groups like House Majority PAC portrayed LaLota as vulnerable against challengers such as Chris Gallant, but these have not shifted market odds amid a fragmented Democratic primary field ahead of the June 23 contest. No major developments in the past 30 days, including recent LaLota advocacy for voter ID requirements, have altered the trajectory, underscoring incumbency advantages and limited Democratic investment priorities elsewhere.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$13,891Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 62.5% to retain New York's 1st Congressional District, driven by incumbent Rep. Nick LaLota's strong position in a Solid Republican-rated seat per the Cook Political Report's unchanged April 7 assessment, reflecting the district's partisan lean and historical voting patterns favoring GOP candidates. Early January polls from Democratic-aligned groups like House Majority PAC portrayed LaLota as vulnerable against challengers such as Chris Gallant, but these have not shifted market odds amid a fragmented Democratic primary field ahead of the June 23 contest. No major developments in the past 30 days, including recent LaLota advocacy for voter ID requirements, have altered the trajectory, underscoring incumbency advantages and limited Democratic investment priorities elsewhere.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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