**Republican incumbent Nick LaLota holds a modest edge in New York’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The district, covering eastern Long Island and parts of Suffolk County, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+4 and has been rated Solid Republican by both the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections. LaLota won reelection in 2024 with 55 percent of the vote and enters 2026 with substantial cash reserves and established name recognition. Democratic primary contenders, including Blake Gendebien and Stuart Amoriell, face a June 23 primary that will determine the nominee. Early polling and analyst assessments indicate limited prospects for flipping the seat, consistent with the district’s recent voting patterns. The current trader consensus (Republican at 58 percent) reflects the seat’s structural lean and the incumbent’s position rather than any dramatic recent shift in momentum. The general election remains months away, leaving room for standard campaign developments to influence final positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-01 House Election Winner
NY-01 House Election Winner
$30,702 KL.
$30,702 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
58%
Democratic Party
42%
$30,702 KL.
$30,702 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,094 KL.
58%
Democratic Party
$21,609 KL.
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbent Nick LaLota holds a modest edge in New York’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The district, covering eastern Long Island and parts of Suffolk County, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+4 and has been rated Solid Republican by both the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections. LaLota won reelection in 2024 with 55 percent of the vote and enters 2026 with substantial cash reserves and established name recognition.
Democratic primary contenders, including Blake Gendebien and Stuart Amoriell, face a June 23 primary that will determine the nominee. Early polling and analyst assessments indicate limited prospects for flipping the seat, consistent with the district’s recent voting patterns. The current trader consensus (Republican at 58 percent) reflects the seat’s structural lean and the incumbent’s position rather than any dramatic recent shift in momentum. The general election remains months away, leaving room for standard campaign developments to influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Khối lượng
$30,702Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbent Nick LaLota holds a modest edge in New York’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The district, covering eastern Long Island and parts of Suffolk County, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+4 and has been rated Solid Republican by both the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections. LaLota won reelection in 2024 with 55 percent of the vote and enters 2026 with substantial cash reserves and established name recognition.
Democratic primary contenders, including Blake Gendebien and Stuart Amoriell, face a June 23 primary that will determine the nominee. Early polling and analyst assessments indicate limited prospects for flipping the seat, consistent with the district’s recent voting patterns. The current trader consensus (Republican at 58 percent) reflects the seat’s structural lean and the incumbent’s position rather than any dramatic recent shift in momentum. The general election remains months away, leaving room for standard campaign developments to influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$30,702Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican incumbent Nick LaLota holds a modest edge in New York’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The district, covering eastern Long Island and parts of Suffolk County, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+4 and has been rated Solid Republican by both the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections. LaLota won reelection in 2024 with 55 percent of the vote and enters 2026 with substantial cash reserves and established name recognition. Democratic primary contenders, including Blake Gendebien and Stuart Amoriell, face a June 23 primary that will determine the nominee. Early polling and analyst assessments indicate limited prospects for flipping the seat, consistent with the district’s recent voting patterns. The current trader consensus (Republican at 58 percent) reflects the seat’s structural lean and the incumbent’s position rather than any dramatic recent shift in momentum. The general election remains months away, leaving room for standard campaign developments to influence final positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp