Republican incumbent Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 3 general election. The Long Island district, encompassing eastern Suffolk County, has shown consistent Republican lean in recent cycles, including LaLota’s 2024 re-election with over 55 percent. After uncontested Republican and contested Democratic primaries concluded June 23, LaLota faces nominee Chris Gallant. Prediction markets reflect trader assessment of LaLota’s incumbency, local name recognition, and the district’s partisan baseline as outweighing broader midterm dynamics that typically favor the opposition party. No major shifts from fundraising reports, endorsements, or polling have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-01 House Election Winner
NY-01 House Election Winner
$39,222 KL.
$39,222 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
70%
Democratic Party
30%
$39,222 KL.
$39,222 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$14,029 KL.
70%
Democratic Party
$25,193 KL.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 3 general election. The Long Island district, encompassing eastern Suffolk County, has shown consistent Republican lean in recent cycles, including LaLota’s 2024 re-election with over 55 percent. After uncontested Republican and contested Democratic primaries concluded June 23, LaLota faces nominee Chris Gallant. Prediction markets reflect trader assessment of LaLota’s incumbency, local name recognition, and the district’s partisan baseline as outweighing broader midterm dynamics that typically favor the opposition party. No major shifts from fundraising reports, endorsements, or polling have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Khối lượng
$39,222Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 3 general election. The Long Island district, encompassing eastern Suffolk County, has shown consistent Republican lean in recent cycles, including LaLota’s 2024 re-election with over 55 percent. After uncontested Republican and contested Democratic primaries concluded June 23, LaLota faces nominee Chris Gallant. Prediction markets reflect trader assessment of LaLota’s incumbency, local name recognition, and the district’s partisan baseline as outweighing broader midterm dynamics that typically favor the opposition party. No major shifts from fundraising reports, endorsements, or polling have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$39,222Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 3 general election. The Long Island district, encompassing eastern Suffolk County, has shown consistent Republican lean in recent cycles, including LaLota’s 2024 re-election with over 55 percent. After uncontested Republican and contested Democratic primaries concluded June 23, LaLota faces nominee Chris Gallant. Prediction markets reflect trader assessment of LaLota’s incumbency, local name recognition, and the district’s partisan baseline as outweighing broader midterm dynamics that typically favor the opposition party. No major shifts from fundraising reports, endorsements, or polling have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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