Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a structural edge in New York’s 1st congressional district on eastern Long Island, where the seat’s partisan voting index and 2024 results favor the GOP. The race remains closely contested in trader pricing because the June 23 Democratic primary between Lukas Ventouras and Christopher Gallant introduces uncertainty over nominee strength and campaign resources ahead of the November general election. Key dynamics include suburban voter turnout patterns, fundraising trajectories for both parties, and broader national midterm sentiment that could shift margins. A strong Democratic nominee emerging from the primary or late-cycle polling shifts could narrow the gap, while sustained Republican mobilization around incumbency and local issues would likely widen the current edge reflected in market consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-01 House Election Winner
NY-01 House Election Winner
$31,280 KL.
$31,280 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
55%
Democratic Party
45%
$31,280 KL.
$31,280 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,168 KL.
55%
Democratic Party
$22,112 KL.
45%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a structural edge in New York’s 1st congressional district on eastern Long Island, where the seat’s partisan voting index and 2024 results favor the GOP. The race remains closely contested in trader pricing because the June 23 Democratic primary between Lukas Ventouras and Christopher Gallant introduces uncertainty over nominee strength and campaign resources ahead of the November general election. Key dynamics include suburban voter turnout patterns, fundraising trajectories for both parties, and broader national midterm sentiment that could shift margins. A strong Democratic nominee emerging from the primary or late-cycle polling shifts could narrow the gap, while sustained Republican mobilization around incumbency and local issues would likely widen the current edge reflected in market consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Khối lượng
$31,280Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a structural edge in New York’s 1st congressional district on eastern Long Island, where the seat’s partisan voting index and 2024 results favor the GOP. The race remains closely contested in trader pricing because the June 23 Democratic primary between Lukas Ventouras and Christopher Gallant introduces uncertainty over nominee strength and campaign resources ahead of the November general election. Key dynamics include suburban voter turnout patterns, fundraising trajectories for both parties, and broader national midterm sentiment that could shift margins. A strong Democratic nominee emerging from the primary or late-cycle polling shifts could narrow the gap, while sustained Republican mobilization around incumbency and local issues would likely widen the current edge reflected in market consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$31,280Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a structural edge in New York’s 1st congressional district on eastern Long Island, where the seat’s partisan voting index and 2024 results favor the GOP. The race remains closely contested in trader pricing because the June 23 Democratic primary between Lukas Ventouras and Christopher Gallant introduces uncertainty over nominee strength and campaign resources ahead of the November general election. Key dynamics include suburban voter turnout patterns, fundraising trajectories for both parties, and broader national midterm sentiment that could shift margins. A strong Democratic nominee emerging from the primary or late-cycle polling shifts could narrow the gap, while sustained Republican mobilization around incumbency and local issues would likely widen the current edge reflected in market consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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