State Rep. Steve Toth's decisive 57%-39% victory over incumbent Rep. Dan Crenshaw in the March 3 Republican primary solidified GOP dominance in Texas' 2nd Congressional District, a reliably red seat with R+12 partisan voter index and historical general election margins exceeding 20 points for Republicans. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, reflecting the district's 62% GOP presidential vote in 2024 and unified conservative turnout that propelled Toth, a staunch hardliner backed by Sen. Ted Cruz. Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed but trails in fundraising effectiveness amid national Republican House majority pressures; absent polls or scandals shifting dynamics before the November 3 ballot, traders' 87% implied probability underscores entrenched structural advantages.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-02 House Election Winner
TX-02 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
12%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,917 KL.
87%
Democratic Party
$4,114 KL.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).State Rep. Steve Toth's decisive 57%-39% victory over incumbent Rep. Dan Crenshaw in the March 3 Republican primary solidified GOP dominance in Texas' 2nd Congressional District, a reliably red seat with R+12 partisan voter index and historical general election margins exceeding 20 points for Republicans. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, reflecting the district's 62% GOP presidential vote in 2024 and unified conservative turnout that propelled Toth, a staunch hardliner backed by Sen. Ted Cruz. Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed but trails in fundraising effectiveness amid national Republican House majority pressures; absent polls or scandals shifting dynamics before the November 3 ballot, traders' 87% implied probability underscores entrenched structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,031Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).State Rep. Steve Toth's decisive 57%-39% victory over incumbent Rep. Dan Crenshaw in the March 3 Republican primary solidified GOP dominance in Texas' 2nd Congressional District, a reliably red seat with R+12 partisan voter index and historical general election margins exceeding 20 points for Republicans. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, reflecting the district's 62% GOP presidential vote in 2024 and unified conservative turnout that propelled Toth, a staunch hardliner backed by Sen. Ted Cruz. Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed but trails in fundraising effectiveness amid national Republican House majority pressures; absent polls or scandals shifting dynamics before the November 3 ballot, traders' 87% implied probability underscores entrenched structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$8,031Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Rep. Steve Toth's decisive 57%-39% victory over incumbent Rep. Dan Crenshaw in the March 3 Republican primary solidified GOP dominance in Texas' 2nd Congressional District, a reliably red seat with R+12 partisan voter index and historical general election margins exceeding 20 points for Republicans. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, reflecting the district's 62% GOP presidential vote in 2024 and unified conservative turnout that propelled Toth, a staunch hardliner backed by Sen. Ted Cruz. Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed but trails in fundraising effectiveness amid national Republican House majority pressures; absent polls or scandals shifting dynamics before the November 3 ballot, traders' 87% implied probability underscores entrenched structural advantages.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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