Texas's 2nd congressional district, covering northern and northeastern Houston suburbs, carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Steve Toth, the Republican nominee and former state representative, defeated incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March primary and faces Democrat Shaun Finnie in the general. The new congressional map enacted in 2025 further strengthened GOP positioning across Texas. Trader consensus at 92 percent for the Republican reflects this structural advantage and the district's voting history, though a national Democratic surge or late-cycle developments could narrow the margin in a low-turnout environment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-02 House Election Winner
TX-02 House Election Winner
$23,409 KL.
$23,409 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
7%
$23,409 KL.
$23,409 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$11,629 KL.
92%
Democratic Party
$11,780 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 2nd congressional district, covering northern and northeastern Houston suburbs, carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Steve Toth, the Republican nominee and former state representative, defeated incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March primary and faces Democrat Shaun Finnie in the general. The new congressional map enacted in 2025 further strengthened GOP positioning across Texas. Trader consensus at 92 percent for the Republican reflects this structural advantage and the district's voting history, though a national Democratic surge or late-cycle developments could narrow the margin in a low-turnout environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,409Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 2nd congressional district, covering northern and northeastern Houston suburbs, carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Steve Toth, the Republican nominee and former state representative, defeated incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March primary and faces Democrat Shaun Finnie in the general. The new congressional map enacted in 2025 further strengthened GOP positioning across Texas. Trader consensus at 92 percent for the Republican reflects this structural advantage and the district's voting history, though a national Democratic surge or late-cycle developments could narrow the margin in a low-turnout environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$23,409Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 2nd congressional district, covering northern and northeastern Houston suburbs, carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Steve Toth, the Republican nominee and former state representative, defeated incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March primary and faces Democrat Shaun Finnie in the general. The new congressional map enacted in 2025 further strengthened GOP positioning across Texas. Trader consensus at 92 percent for the Republican reflects this structural advantage and the district's voting history, though a national Democratic surge or late-cycle developments could narrow the margin in a low-turnout environment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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