NY-07, encompassing progressive strongholds in Brooklyn and Queens, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, with the retiring incumbent securing over 78% in 2024. The June 23 Democratic primary—featuring Assembly Member Claire Valdez, Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso, and Council Member Julie Won—will determine the nominee in a race rated safe Democratic by forecasters. Traders assign Republicans only a slim implied probability because no credible GOP challenger has emerged and the district's partisan composition makes a general-election upset unlikely absent extraordinary national conditions. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen primary scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a broader midterm reversal, though historical base rates in comparable urban seats limit those odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-07 House Election Winner
NY-07 House Election Winner
$22,285 KL.
$22,285 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$22,285 KL.
$22,285 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,501 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$10,784 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-07, encompassing progressive strongholds in Brooklyn and Queens, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, with the retiring incumbent securing over 78% in 2024. The June 23 Democratic primary—featuring Assembly Member Claire Valdez, Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso, and Council Member Julie Won—will determine the nominee in a race rated safe Democratic by forecasters. Traders assign Republicans only a slim implied probability because no credible GOP challenger has emerged and the district's partisan composition makes a general-election upset unlikely absent extraordinary national conditions. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen primary scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a broader midterm reversal, though historical base rates in comparable urban seats limit those odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Khối lượng
$22,285Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-07, encompassing progressive strongholds in Brooklyn and Queens, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, with the retiring incumbent securing over 78% in 2024. The June 23 Democratic primary—featuring Assembly Member Claire Valdez, Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso, and Council Member Julie Won—will determine the nominee in a race rated safe Democratic by forecasters. Traders assign Republicans only a slim implied probability because no credible GOP challenger has emerged and the district's partisan composition makes a general-election upset unlikely absent extraordinary national conditions. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen primary scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a broader midterm reversal, though historical base rates in comparable urban seats limit those odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$22,285Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-07, encompassing progressive strongholds in Brooklyn and Queens, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, with the retiring incumbent securing over 78% in 2024. The June 23 Democratic primary—featuring Assembly Member Claire Valdez, Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso, and Council Member Julie Won—will determine the nominee in a race rated safe Democratic by forecasters. Traders assign Republicans only a slim implied probability because no credible GOP challenger has emerged and the district's partisan composition makes a general-election upset unlikely absent extraordinary national conditions. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen primary scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a broader midterm reversal, though historical base rates in comparable urban seats limit those odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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