New York's 8th congressional district, centered in Brooklyn, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Hakeem Jeffries, the House Minority Leader first elected in 2012, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with minimal opposition and faces Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi in the November general election. Trader consensus at 95.3% for Democrats aligns with the district's urban demographics, high Democratic registration, and historical voting patterns that have produced safe margins exceeding 70% in prior contests. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented national shift or localized disruption such as a late scandal or significant turnout anomaly, neither of which appears probable based on current conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-08 House Election Winner
NY-08 House Election Winner
$32,576 KL.
$32,576 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$32,576 KL.
$32,576 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,093 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$18,483 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 8th congressional district, centered in Brooklyn, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Hakeem Jeffries, the House Minority Leader first elected in 2012, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with minimal opposition and faces Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi in the November general election. Trader consensus at 95.3% for Democrats aligns with the district's urban demographics, high Democratic registration, and historical voting patterns that have produced safe margins exceeding 70% in prior contests. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented national shift or localized disruption such as a late scandal or significant turnout anomaly, neither of which appears probable based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Khối lượng
$32,576Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 8th congressional district, centered in Brooklyn, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Hakeem Jeffries, the House Minority Leader first elected in 2012, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with minimal opposition and faces Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi in the November general election. Trader consensus at 95.3% for Democrats aligns with the district's urban demographics, high Democratic registration, and historical voting patterns that have produced safe margins exceeding 70% in prior contests. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented national shift or localized disruption such as a late scandal or significant turnout anomaly, neither of which appears probable based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$32,576Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York's 8th congressional district, centered in Brooklyn, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Hakeem Jeffries, the House Minority Leader first elected in 2012, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with minimal opposition and faces Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi in the November general election. Trader consensus at 95.3% for Democrats aligns with the district's urban demographics, high Democratic registration, and historical voting patterns that have produced safe margins exceeding 70% in prior contests. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented national shift or localized disruption such as a late scandal or significant turnout anomaly, neither of which appears probable based on current conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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