Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 84 percent of the vote, advancing to face Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III in the November general election for Mississippi's 4th congressional district. The Gulf Coast district, which includes Gulfport and Biloxi, has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, reflected in the incumbent's prior 74 percent general election margin. Cook Political Report classifies the seat as solidly Republican, aligning with trader consensus that favors the Republican Party at 57.7 percent implied probability. With primaries resolved months ago and no major subsequent developments such as candidate withdrawals or shifting national midterm dynamics reported in the past 30 days, the race remains defined by established partisan patterns and incumbency advantages.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMS-04 House Election Winner
MS-04 House Election Winner
$23,880 KL.
$23,880 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
58%
Democratic Party
7%
$23,880 KL.
$23,880 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,542 KL.
58%
Democratic Party
$14,338 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 84 percent of the vote, advancing to face Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III in the November general election for Mississippi's 4th congressional district. The Gulf Coast district, which includes Gulfport and Biloxi, has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, reflected in the incumbent's prior 74 percent general election margin. Cook Political Report classifies the seat as solidly Republican, aligning with trader consensus that favors the Republican Party at 57.7 percent implied probability. With primaries resolved months ago and no major subsequent developments such as candidate withdrawals or shifting national midterm dynamics reported in the past 30 days, the race remains defined by established partisan patterns and incumbency advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,880Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 84 percent of the vote, advancing to face Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III in the November general election for Mississippi's 4th congressional district. The Gulf Coast district, which includes Gulfport and Biloxi, has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, reflected in the incumbent's prior 74 percent general election margin. Cook Political Report classifies the seat as solidly Republican, aligning with trader consensus that favors the Republican Party at 57.7 percent implied probability. With primaries resolved months ago and no major subsequent developments such as candidate withdrawals or shifting national midterm dynamics reported in the past 30 days, the race remains defined by established partisan patterns and incumbency advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$23,880Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 84 percent of the vote, advancing to face Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III in the November general election for Mississippi's 4th congressional district. The Gulf Coast district, which includes Gulfport and Biloxi, has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, reflected in the incumbent's prior 74 percent general election margin. Cook Political Report classifies the seat as solidly Republican, aligning with trader consensus that favors the Republican Party at 57.7 percent implied probability. With primaries resolved months ago and no major subsequent developments such as candidate withdrawals or shifting national midterm dynamics reported in the past 30 days, the race remains defined by established partisan patterns and incumbency advantages.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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