Incumbent Democrat Jake Auchincloss holds a commanding position in Massachusetts's 4th congressional district, a seat long aligned with Democratic voting patterns across its southeastern communities including Newton and Fall River. The Cook Political Report classifies the race as noncompetitive, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and a primary field that keeps the general election contest within the party. Trader consensus at 96% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage, while the Republican nominee faces steep fundraising and turnout hurdles typical of the state. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen primary upset on September 1, 2026, late-breaking scandal, or national political realignment before November, though such developments remain low-probability given historical margins and current positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMA-04 House Election Winner
MA-04 House Election Winner
$46,797 KL.
$46,797 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
$46,797 KL.
$46,797 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$23,197 KL.
96%
Republican Party
$23,600 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jake Auchincloss holds a commanding position in Massachusetts's 4th congressional district, a seat long aligned with Democratic voting patterns across its southeastern communities including Newton and Fall River. The Cook Political Report classifies the race as noncompetitive, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and a primary field that keeps the general election contest within the party. Trader consensus at 96% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage, while the Republican nominee faces steep fundraising and turnout hurdles typical of the state. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen primary upset on September 1, 2026, late-breaking scandal, or national political realignment before November, though such developments remain low-probability given historical margins and current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$46,797Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jake Auchincloss holds a commanding position in Massachusetts's 4th congressional district, a seat long aligned with Democratic voting patterns across its southeastern communities including Newton and Fall River. The Cook Political Report classifies the race as noncompetitive, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and a primary field that keeps the general election contest within the party. Trader consensus at 96% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage, while the Republican nominee faces steep fundraising and turnout hurdles typical of the state. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen primary upset on September 1, 2026, late-breaking scandal, or national political realignment before November, though such developments remain low-probability given historical margins and current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$46,797Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jake Auchincloss holds a commanding position in Massachusetts's 4th congressional district, a seat long aligned with Democratic voting patterns across its southeastern communities including Newton and Fall River. The Cook Political Report classifies the race as noncompetitive, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and a primary field that keeps the general election contest within the party. Trader consensus at 96% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage, while the Republican nominee faces steep fundraising and turnout hurdles typical of the state. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen primary upset on September 1, 2026, late-breaking scandal, or national political realignment before November, though such developments remain low-probability given historical margins and current positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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