Massachusetts's 8th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and has delivered Democratic general election margins above 40 points in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Stephen Lynch, first elected in 2001 and unopposed in 2024, faces only a September 1 Democratic primary challenge from Patrick Roath before the November 3 general election, while Republican Robert Burke is the sole declared GOP contender. Historical turnout patterns, limited Republican infrastructure in the district, and the absence of competitive polling or major political shifts since the 2024 cycle sustain the 94 percent Democratic implied probability. A late primary upset, unforeseen scandal, or national wave of unusual magnitude could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMA-08 House Election Winner
MA-08 House Election Winner
$19,047 KL.
$19,047 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
$19,047 KL.
$19,047 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,022 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$7,025 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 8th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and has delivered Democratic general election margins above 40 points in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Stephen Lynch, first elected in 2001 and unopposed in 2024, faces only a September 1 Democratic primary challenge from Patrick Roath before the November 3 general election, while Republican Robert Burke is the sole declared GOP contender. Historical turnout patterns, limited Republican infrastructure in the district, and the absence of competitive polling or major political shifts since the 2024 cycle sustain the 94 percent Democratic implied probability. A late primary upset, unforeseen scandal, or national wave of unusual magnitude could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$19,047Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 8th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and has delivered Democratic general election margins above 40 points in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Stephen Lynch, first elected in 2001 and unopposed in 2024, faces only a September 1 Democratic primary challenge from Patrick Roath before the November 3 general election, while Republican Robert Burke is the sole declared GOP contender. Historical turnout patterns, limited Republican infrastructure in the district, and the absence of competitive polling or major political shifts since the 2024 cycle sustain the 94 percent Democratic implied probability. A late primary upset, unforeseen scandal, or national wave of unusual magnitude could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$19,047Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's 8th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and has delivered Democratic general election margins above 40 points in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Stephen Lynch, first elected in 2001 and unopposed in 2024, faces only a September 1 Democratic primary challenge from Patrick Roath before the November 3 general election, while Republican Robert Burke is the sole declared GOP contender. Historical turnout patterns, limited Republican infrastructure in the district, and the absence of competitive polling or major political shifts since the 2024 cycle sustain the 94 percent Democratic implied probability. A late primary upset, unforeseen scandal, or national wave of unusual magnitude could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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