Incumbent Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th congressional district due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and his 61 percent share of the vote in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Himes faces minimal primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Republican nominee Michael Goldstein, who prevailed in the August primary, has raised far less and previously lost to Himes by wide margins. An independent candidate adds little competitive pressure. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter outcomes, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCT-04 House Election Winner
CT-04 House Election Winner
$48,179 KL.
$48,179 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Jim Himes (D)
98%
Michael Goldstein (R)
2%
$48,179 KL.
$48,179 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Jim Himes (D)
$22,193 KL.
98%
Michael Goldstein (R)
$25,986 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th congressional district due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and his 61 percent share of the vote in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Himes faces minimal primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Republican nominee Michael Goldstein, who prevailed in the August primary, has raised far less and previously lost to Himes by wide margins. An independent candidate adds little competitive pressure. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter outcomes, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$48,179Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th congressional district due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and his 61 percent share of the vote in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Himes faces minimal primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Republican nominee Michael Goldstein, who prevailed in the August primary, has raised far less and previously lost to Himes by wide margins. An independent candidate adds little competitive pressure. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter outcomes, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$48,179Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th congressional district due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and his 61 percent share of the vote in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Himes faces minimal primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Republican nominee Michael Goldstein, who prevailed in the August primary, has raised far less and previously lost to Himes by wide margins. An independent candidate adds little competitive pressure. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter outcomes, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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