Michigan's 9th congressional district, encompassing The Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs in Oakland and Macomb counties, has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, including a 66.8% victory margin for incumbent Lisa McClain in 2024. McClain, who advanced easily through the August 4, 2026 Republican primary, faces Democratic nominee Ray Pooley in a race rated safe or solid Republican by multiple forecasters. This structural partisan advantage, combined with the incumbent's established record and limited organized opposition, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome. Potential shifts could stem from major national developments, candidate controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMI-09 House Election Winner
MI-09 House Election Winner
$20,563 KL.
$20,563 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$20,563 KL.
$20,563 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$14,011 KL.
94%
Democratic Party
$6,552 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 9th congressional district, encompassing The Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs in Oakland and Macomb counties, has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, including a 66.8% victory margin for incumbent Lisa McClain in 2024. McClain, who advanced easily through the August 4, 2026 Republican primary, faces Democratic nominee Ray Pooley in a race rated safe or solid Republican by multiple forecasters. This structural partisan advantage, combined with the incumbent's established record and limited organized opposition, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome. Potential shifts could stem from major national developments, candidate controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$20,563Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 9th congressional district, encompassing The Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs in Oakland and Macomb counties, has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, including a 66.8% victory margin for incumbent Lisa McClain in 2024. McClain, who advanced easily through the August 4, 2026 Republican primary, faces Democratic nominee Ray Pooley in a race rated safe or solid Republican by multiple forecasters. This structural partisan advantage, combined with the incumbent's established record and limited organized opposition, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome. Potential shifts could stem from major national developments, candidate controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$20,563Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 9th congressional district, encompassing The Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs in Oakland and Macomb counties, has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, including a 66.8% victory margin for incumbent Lisa McClain in 2024. McClain, who advanced easily through the August 4, 2026 Republican primary, faces Democratic nominee Ray Pooley in a race rated safe or solid Republican by multiple forecasters. This structural partisan advantage, combined with the incumbent's established record and limited organized opposition, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome. Potential shifts could stem from major national developments, candidate controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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