Oklahoma's 1st congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11, reflecting consistent Republican dominance in presidential and House voting patterns that has produced large margins in recent cycles. The seat opened after incumbent Kevin Hern launched a Senate bid, drawing a crowded Republican primary field where Mark Tedford and Jackson Lahmeyer advanced to an August 25 runoff; Democrat John Croisant secured his party's nomination with minimal opposition. Traders price the Republican nominee at 90.5 percent because the district's voter base and structural advantages have historically delivered comfortable general-election victories for the party. A realistic shift would require either an unusually strong national Democratic environment, a major scandal or health event affecting the eventual Republican nominee, or turnout dynamics that overcome the district's established partisan lean.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOK-01 House Election Winner
OK-01 House Election Winner
$24,782 KL.
$24,782 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
$24,782 KL.
$24,782 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$12,928 KL.
91%
Democratic Party
$11,854 KL.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 1st congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11, reflecting consistent Republican dominance in presidential and House voting patterns that has produced large margins in recent cycles. The seat opened after incumbent Kevin Hern launched a Senate bid, drawing a crowded Republican primary field where Mark Tedford and Jackson Lahmeyer advanced to an August 25 runoff; Democrat John Croisant secured his party's nomination with minimal opposition. Traders price the Republican nominee at 90.5 percent because the district's voter base and structural advantages have historically delivered comfortable general-election victories for the party. A realistic shift would require either an unusually strong national Democratic environment, a major scandal or health event affecting the eventual Republican nominee, or turnout dynamics that overcome the district's established partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$24,782Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 1st congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11, reflecting consistent Republican dominance in presidential and House voting patterns that has produced large margins in recent cycles. The seat opened after incumbent Kevin Hern launched a Senate bid, drawing a crowded Republican primary field where Mark Tedford and Jackson Lahmeyer advanced to an August 25 runoff; Democrat John Croisant secured his party's nomination with minimal opposition. Traders price the Republican nominee at 90.5 percent because the district's voter base and structural advantages have historically delivered comfortable general-election victories for the party. A realistic shift would require either an unusually strong national Democratic environment, a major scandal or health event affecting the eventual Republican nominee, or turnout dynamics that overcome the district's established partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$24,782Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 1st congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11, reflecting consistent Republican dominance in presidential and House voting patterns that has produced large margins in recent cycles. The seat opened after incumbent Kevin Hern launched a Senate bid, drawing a crowded Republican primary field where Mark Tedford and Jackson Lahmeyer advanced to an August 25 runoff; Democrat John Croisant secured his party's nomination with minimal opposition. Traders price the Republican nominee at 90.5 percent because the district's voter base and structural advantages have historically delivered comfortable general-election victories for the party. A realistic shift would require either an unusually strong national Democratic environment, a major scandal or health event affecting the eventual Republican nominee, or turnout dynamics that overcome the district's established partisan lean.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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