Oklahoma's 1st congressional district maintains a solid Republican advantage reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles, positioning the Republican nominee as the clear favorite in trader consensus ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Kevin Hern's March decision to pursue an open U.S. Senate seat created an open House race, drawing a crowded field of 10 Republican primary candidates set for June 16, with a potential August runoff if no candidate secures a majority. Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, yet faces structural barriers in a district rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. The upcoming primary outcome and general election dynamics will determine the final nominee, but the district's established voting patterns continue to anchor the elevated Republican probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOK-01 House Election Winner
OK-01 House Election Winner
$11,853 KL.
$11,853 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
13%
$11,853 KL.
$11,853 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,313 KL.
87%
Democratic Party
$5,540 KL.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 1st congressional district maintains a solid Republican advantage reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles, positioning the Republican nominee as the clear favorite in trader consensus ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Kevin Hern's March decision to pursue an open U.S. Senate seat created an open House race, drawing a crowded field of 10 Republican primary candidates set for June 16, with a potential August runoff if no candidate secures a majority. Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, yet faces structural barriers in a district rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. The upcoming primary outcome and general election dynamics will determine the final nominee, but the district's established voting patterns continue to anchor the elevated Republican probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,853Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 1st congressional district maintains a solid Republican advantage reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles, positioning the Republican nominee as the clear favorite in trader consensus ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Kevin Hern's March decision to pursue an open U.S. Senate seat created an open House race, drawing a crowded field of 10 Republican primary candidates set for June 16, with a potential August runoff if no candidate secures a majority. Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, yet faces structural barriers in a district rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. The upcoming primary outcome and general election dynamics will determine the final nominee, but the district's established voting patterns continue to anchor the elevated Republican probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$11,853Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 1st congressional district maintains a solid Republican advantage reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles, positioning the Republican nominee as the clear favorite in trader consensus ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Kevin Hern's March decision to pursue an open U.S. Senate seat created an open House race, drawing a crowded field of 10 Republican primary candidates set for June 16, with a potential August runoff if no candidate secures a majority. Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, yet faces structural barriers in a district rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. The upcoming primary outcome and general election dynamics will determine the final nominee, but the district's established voting patterns continue to anchor the elevated Republican probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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