Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann seeks re-election in Kansas’s 1st congressional district, a solidly conservative rural seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+16. Primary contests on August 4, 2026, feature Mann facing limited intraparty opposition alongside a pair of Democratic primary candidates, while forecasters rate the general election Safe or Solid Republican. Mann’s prior 69 percent general-election margin, substantial fundraising edge, and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns underpin trader consensus favoring continued GOP control. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Democratic nominee, significant national political realignment before November 3, or an unforeseen primary upset that weakens the Republican standard-bearer.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKS-01 House Election Winner
KS-01 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,484 KL.
94%
Democratic Party
$3,539 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann seeks re-election in Kansas’s 1st congressional district, a solidly conservative rural seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+16. Primary contests on August 4, 2026, feature Mann facing limited intraparty opposition alongside a pair of Democratic primary candidates, while forecasters rate the general election Safe or Solid Republican. Mann’s prior 69 percent general-election margin, substantial fundraising edge, and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns underpin trader consensus favoring continued GOP control. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Democratic nominee, significant national political realignment before November 3, or an unforeseen primary upset that weakens the Republican standard-bearer.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,022Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann seeks re-election in Kansas’s 1st congressional district, a solidly conservative rural seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+16. Primary contests on August 4, 2026, feature Mann facing limited intraparty opposition alongside a pair of Democratic primary candidates, while forecasters rate the general election Safe or Solid Republican. Mann’s prior 69 percent general-election margin, substantial fundraising edge, and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns underpin trader consensus favoring continued GOP control. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Democratic nominee, significant national political realignment before November 3, or an unforeseen primary upset that weakens the Republican standard-bearer.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$8,022Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann seeks re-election in Kansas’s 1st congressional district, a solidly conservative rural seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+16. Primary contests on August 4, 2026, feature Mann facing limited intraparty opposition alongside a pair of Democratic primary candidates, while forecasters rate the general election Safe or Solid Republican. Mann’s prior 69 percent general-election margin, substantial fundraising edge, and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns underpin trader consensus favoring continued GOP control. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Democratic nominee, significant national political realignment before November 3, or an unforeseen primary upset that weakens the Republican standard-bearer.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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