Incumbent Democrat Juan Vargas holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for California's 52nd Congressional District House race, reflecting his consistent dominance in this D+13 seat encompassing southern San Diego County and Imperial County, where he won 66% in both 2022 and 2024 amid heavy Hispanic voter support. Recent mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 has preserved the district's safe Democratic tilt, with minimal GOP opposition—only Republican Jeff Belle filed alongside Vargas and Democrat Deborah Calhoun Rhodes ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Odds imply low upset risk absent a Vargas scandal, primary surprise sending Belle to November, or national Republican wave shifting battleground turnout.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-52 House Election Winner
CA-52 House Election Winner
$39,008 KL.
$39,008 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$39,008 KL.
$39,008 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$28,679 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$10,328 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-52 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Juan Vargas holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for California's 52nd Congressional District House race, reflecting his consistent dominance in this D+13 seat encompassing southern San Diego County and Imperial County, where he won 66% in both 2022 and 2024 amid heavy Hispanic voter support. Recent mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 has preserved the district's safe Democratic tilt, with minimal GOP opposition—only Republican Jeff Belle filed alongside Vargas and Democrat Deborah Calhoun Rhodes ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Odds imply low upset risk absent a Vargas scandal, primary surprise sending Belle to November, or national Republican wave shifting battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-52 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$39,008Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-52 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Juan Vargas holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for California's 52nd Congressional District House race, reflecting his consistent dominance in this D+13 seat encompassing southern San Diego County and Imperial County, where he won 66% in both 2022 and 2024 amid heavy Hispanic voter support. Recent mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 has preserved the district's safe Democratic tilt, with minimal GOP opposition—only Republican Jeff Belle filed alongside Vargas and Democrat Deborah Calhoun Rhodes ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Odds imply low upset risk absent a Vargas scandal, primary surprise sending Belle to November, or national Republican wave shifting battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-52 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$39,008Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Juan Vargas holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for California's 52nd Congressional District House race, reflecting his consistent dominance in this D+13 seat encompassing southern San Diego County and Imperial County, where he won 66% in both 2022 and 2024 amid heavy Hispanic voter support. Recent mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 has preserved the district's safe Democratic tilt, with minimal GOP opposition—only Republican Jeff Belle filed alongside Vargas and Democrat Deborah Calhoun Rhodes ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Odds imply low upset risk absent a Vargas scandal, primary surprise sending Belle to November, or national Republican wave shifting battleground turnout.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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