California’s 50th congressional district carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+16 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in recent cycles. The seat’s demographics and voting patterns have produced reliable Democratic majorities, reinforced by the 2025 redistricting under Proposition 50 that further tilted several California districts toward the party. Incumbent Scott Peters faces no declared Republican opponent of comparable strength ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, leaving the general-election outcome largely uncontested in trader assessments. A late surge by an unusually strong Republican candidate or an unforeseen national political realignment could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events given the district’s structural fundamentals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-50 House Election Winner
CA-50 House Election Winner
$36,198 KL.
$36,198 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$36,198 KL.
$36,198 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$20,823 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$15,374 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 50th congressional district carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+16 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in recent cycles. The seat’s demographics and voting patterns have produced reliable Democratic majorities, reinforced by the 2025 redistricting under Proposition 50 that further tilted several California districts toward the party. Incumbent Scott Peters faces no declared Republican opponent of comparable strength ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, leaving the general-election outcome largely uncontested in trader assessments. A late surge by an unusually strong Republican candidate or an unforeseen national political realignment could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events given the district’s structural fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$36,198Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 50th congressional district carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+16 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in recent cycles. The seat’s demographics and voting patterns have produced reliable Democratic majorities, reinforced by the 2025 redistricting under Proposition 50 that further tilted several California districts toward the party. Incumbent Scott Peters faces no declared Republican opponent of comparable strength ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, leaving the general-election outcome largely uncontested in trader assessments. A late surge by an unusually strong Republican candidate or an unforeseen national political realignment could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events given the district’s structural fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$36,198Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 50th congressional district carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+16 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in recent cycles. The seat’s demographics and voting patterns have produced reliable Democratic majorities, reinforced by the 2025 redistricting under Proposition 50 that further tilted several California districts toward the party. Incumbent Scott Peters faces no declared Republican opponent of comparable strength ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, leaving the general-election outcome largely uncontested in trader assessments. A late surge by an unusually strong Republican candidate or an unforeseen national political realignment could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events given the district’s structural fundamentals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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