Incumbent Democrat Sara Jacobs maintains a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district ahead of the November general election, supported by the seat's strong Democratic tilt reflected in a Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+13 and her decisive 2024 victory margin. Multiple Democratic challengers competed in the June 2 top-two primary, but Jacobs advanced comfortably alongside Republican Ricardo Cabrera amid limited opposition and her established fundraising and name recognition advantages. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus on the implied probability for a Democratic win aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns in the district. A late-breaking scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unexpected national political realignment could still shift dynamics before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-51 House Election Winner
CA-51 House Election Winner
$28,957 KL.
$28,957 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
$28,957 KL.
$28,957 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,910 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$14,046 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sara Jacobs maintains a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district ahead of the November general election, supported by the seat's strong Democratic tilt reflected in a Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+13 and her decisive 2024 victory margin. Multiple Democratic challengers competed in the June 2 top-two primary, but Jacobs advanced comfortably alongside Republican Ricardo Cabrera amid limited opposition and her established fundraising and name recognition advantages. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus on the implied probability for a Democratic win aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns in the district. A late-breaking scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unexpected national political realignment could still shift dynamics before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$28,957Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sara Jacobs maintains a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district ahead of the November general election, supported by the seat's strong Democratic tilt reflected in a Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+13 and her decisive 2024 victory margin. Multiple Democratic challengers competed in the June 2 top-two primary, but Jacobs advanced comfortably alongside Republican Ricardo Cabrera amid limited opposition and her established fundraising and name recognition advantages. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus on the implied probability for a Democratic win aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns in the district. A late-breaking scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unexpected national political realignment could still shift dynamics before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$28,957Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sara Jacobs maintains a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district ahead of the November general election, supported by the seat's strong Democratic tilt reflected in a Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+13 and her decisive 2024 victory margin. Multiple Democratic challengers competed in the June 2 top-two primary, but Jacobs advanced comfortably alongside Republican Ricardo Cabrera amid limited opposition and her established fundraising and name recognition advantages. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus on the implied probability for a Democratic win aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns in the district. A late-breaking scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unexpected national political realignment could still shift dynamics before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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