Incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers' re-election bid, backed by President Trump's endorsement and a $2.4 million cash-on-hand advantage, anchors trader consensus at 92% for the Republican Party in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District ahead of the May 19 Republican primary against lightly funded challenger Terri LaPoint. The district's R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index—the 17th most Republican nationally—and Rogers' 97.9% 2024 victory underscore its safe status, while sole Democratic nominee Lee McInnis advances unopposed with under $10,000 raised. Odds reflect minimal upset risk from primary turbulence or general election dynamics, though a GOP primary surprise, scandal, or national Democratic wave could shift probabilities before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAL-03 House Election Winner
AL-03 House Election Winner
$14,932 KL.
$14,932 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
9%
$14,932 KL.
$14,932 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,192 KL.
92%
Democratic Party
$6,741 KL.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers' re-election bid, backed by President Trump's endorsement and a $2.4 million cash-on-hand advantage, anchors trader consensus at 92% for the Republican Party in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District ahead of the May 19 Republican primary against lightly funded challenger Terri LaPoint. The district's R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index—the 17th most Republican nationally—and Rogers' 97.9% 2024 victory underscore its safe status, while sole Democratic nominee Lee McInnis advances unopposed with under $10,000 raised. Odds reflect minimal upset risk from primary turbulence or general election dynamics, though a GOP primary surprise, scandal, or national Democratic wave could shift probabilities before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Khối lượng
$14,932Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers' re-election bid, backed by President Trump's endorsement and a $2.4 million cash-on-hand advantage, anchors trader consensus at 92% for the Republican Party in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District ahead of the May 19 Republican primary against lightly funded challenger Terri LaPoint. The district's R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index—the 17th most Republican nationally—and Rogers' 97.9% 2024 victory underscore its safe status, while sole Democratic nominee Lee McInnis advances unopposed with under $10,000 raised. Odds reflect minimal upset risk from primary turbulence or general election dynamics, though a GOP primary surprise, scandal, or national Democratic wave could shift probabilities before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$14,932Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers' re-election bid, backed by President Trump's endorsement and a $2.4 million cash-on-hand advantage, anchors trader consensus at 92% for the Republican Party in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District ahead of the May 19 Republican primary against lightly funded challenger Terri LaPoint. The district's R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index—the 17th most Republican nationally—and Rogers' 97.9% 2024 victory underscore its safe status, while sole Democratic nominee Lee McInnis advances unopposed with under $10,000 raised. Odds reflect minimal upset risk from primary turbulence or general election dynamics, though a GOP primary surprise, scandal, or national Democratic wave could shift probabilities before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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