Recent redistricting following the Supreme Court’s Callais decision shifted Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District toward a Republican-leaning partisan balance, elevating GOP prospects for the November 2026 general election. Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures won his party’s August 11 primary, while state Rep. Rhett Marques secured the Republican nomination with a plurality in a crowded field, backed by endorsements including from President Trump. Forecasters such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as Likely Republican, reflecting the updated district lines and nominee strength. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a 74% implied probability of victory, consistent with the district’s altered electoral math and limited recent polling signals favoring the GOP challenger.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAL-02 House Election Winner
AL-02 House Election Winner
$39,563 KL.
$39,563 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
74%
Democratic Party
26%
$39,563 KL.
$39,563 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$20,300 KL.
74%
Democratic Party
$19,264 KL.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting following the Supreme Court’s Callais decision shifted Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District toward a Republican-leaning partisan balance, elevating GOP prospects for the November 2026 general election. Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures won his party’s August 11 primary, while state Rep. Rhett Marques secured the Republican nomination with a plurality in a crowded field, backed by endorsements including from President Trump. Forecasters such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as Likely Republican, reflecting the updated district lines and nominee strength. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a 74% implied probability of victory, consistent with the district’s altered electoral math and limited recent polling signals favoring the GOP challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Khối lượng
$39,563Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting following the Supreme Court’s Callais decision shifted Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District toward a Republican-leaning partisan balance, elevating GOP prospects for the November 2026 general election. Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures won his party’s August 11 primary, while state Rep. Rhett Marques secured the Republican nomination with a plurality in a crowded field, backed by endorsements including from President Trump. Forecasters such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as Likely Republican, reflecting the updated district lines and nominee strength. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a 74% implied probability of victory, consistent with the district’s altered electoral math and limited recent polling signals favoring the GOP challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$39,563Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting following the Supreme Court’s Callais decision shifted Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District toward a Republican-leaning partisan balance, elevating GOP prospects for the November 2026 general election. Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures won his party’s August 11 primary, while state Rep. Rhett Marques secured the Republican nomination with a plurality in a crowded field, backed by endorsements including from President Trump. Forecasters such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as Likely Republican, reflecting the updated district lines and nominee strength. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a 74% implied probability of victory, consistent with the district’s altered electoral math and limited recent polling signals favoring the GOP challenger.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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