Illinois's 4th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with Patty Garcia positioned as the party's nominee following her unopposed March primary victory after incumbent Jesús "Chuy" García's retirement. The district's urban Chicago base, consistent partisan voting history, and limited Republican infrastructure underpin trader consensus around a wide margin for the Democratic candidate over Republican Lupe Castillo and independent challengers. Primary spending data and analyst ratings classify the race as solidly Democratic, with no major recent developments altering the balance. Late shifts could occur from an unforeseen scandal, unusually high Republican turnout, or national political realignment, though such outcomes lack recent precedent in this district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIL-04 House Election Winner
IL-04 House Election Winner
$52,331 KL.
$52,331 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
3%
$52,331 KL.
$52,331 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$37,684 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$14,647 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 4th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with Patty Garcia positioned as the party's nominee following her unopposed March primary victory after incumbent Jesús "Chuy" García's retirement. The district's urban Chicago base, consistent partisan voting history, and limited Republican infrastructure underpin trader consensus around a wide margin for the Democratic candidate over Republican Lupe Castillo and independent challengers. Primary spending data and analyst ratings classify the race as solidly Democratic, with no major recent developments altering the balance. Late shifts could occur from an unforeseen scandal, unusually high Republican turnout, or national political realignment, though such outcomes lack recent precedent in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$52,331Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 4th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with Patty Garcia positioned as the party's nominee following her unopposed March primary victory after incumbent Jesús "Chuy" García's retirement. The district's urban Chicago base, consistent partisan voting history, and limited Republican infrastructure underpin trader consensus around a wide margin for the Democratic candidate over Republican Lupe Castillo and independent challengers. Primary spending data and analyst ratings classify the race as solidly Democratic, with no major recent developments altering the balance. Late shifts could occur from an unforeseen scandal, unusually high Republican turnout, or national political realignment, though such outcomes lack recent precedent in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$52,331Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 4th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with Patty Garcia positioned as the party's nominee following her unopposed March primary victory after incumbent Jesús "Chuy" García's retirement. The district's urban Chicago base, consistent partisan voting history, and limited Republican infrastructure underpin trader consensus around a wide margin for the Democratic candidate over Republican Lupe Castillo and independent challengers. Primary spending data and analyst ratings classify the race as solidly Democratic, with no major recent developments altering the balance. Late shifts could occur from an unforeseen scandal, unusually high Republican turnout, or national political realignment, though such outcomes lack recent precedent in this district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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