Incumbent Republican Brad Knott's commanding position in North Carolina's 13th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus pricing Republicans at 83.5% to win the November 3, 2026 general election. The district's R+8 Partisan Voter Index, solidified by 2025 redistricting, combined with Knott's 58.6%-41.4% victory over Democrat Frank Pierce in 2024, favors his reelection. March 3 primaries reinforced this: Knott captured 89.9% against Sid Sharma in the GOP contest, while Paul Barringer secured the Democratic nomination at 59.1%. Knott's superior fundraising ($1.08 million vs. Barringer's $806,000 as of late March) and lack of competitive polling further cement the safe Republican outlook absent major shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNC-13 House Election Winner
NC-13 House Election Winner
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
15%
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
15%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Knott's commanding position in North Carolina's 13th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus pricing Republicans at 83.5% to win the November 3, 2026 general election. The district's R+8 Partisan Voter Index, solidified by 2025 redistricting, combined with Knott's 58.6%-41.4% victory over Democrat Frank Pierce in 2024, favors his reelection. March 3 primaries reinforced this: Knott captured 89.9% against Sid Sharma in the GOP contest, while Paul Barringer secured the Democratic nomination at 59.1%. Knott's superior fundraising ($1.08 million vs. Barringer's $806,000 as of late March) and lack of competitive polling further cement the safe Republican outlook absent major shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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