Republican Brad Knott, the incumbent first elected in 2024, secured his party's nomination with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, while Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from a more competitive Democratic primary. Nonpartisan analysts rate the district a solid or safe Republican seat under the current map, reflecting its partisan composition and historical voting patterns that favor GOP candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, traders appear to view the structural advantages of incumbency and district lean as durable, producing the current 83-16 split in implied probability. No major developments in the past 30 days have altered this positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNC-13 House Election Winner
NC-13 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
16%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,666 KL.
83%
Democratic Party
$5,168 KL.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Brad Knott, the incumbent first elected in 2024, secured his party's nomination with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, while Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from a more competitive Democratic primary. Nonpartisan analysts rate the district a solid or safe Republican seat under the current map, reflecting its partisan composition and historical voting patterns that favor GOP candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, traders appear to view the structural advantages of incumbency and district lean as durable, producing the current 83-16 split in implied probability. No major developments in the past 30 days have altered this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,834Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Brad Knott, the incumbent first elected in 2024, secured his party's nomination with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, while Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from a more competitive Democratic primary. Nonpartisan analysts rate the district a solid or safe Republican seat under the current map, reflecting its partisan composition and historical voting patterns that favor GOP candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, traders appear to view the structural advantages of incumbency and district lean as durable, producing the current 83-16 split in implied probability. No major developments in the past 30 days have altered this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$8,834Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Brad Knott, the incumbent first elected in 2024, secured his party's nomination with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, while Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from a more competitive Democratic primary. Nonpartisan analysts rate the district a solid or safe Republican seat under the current map, reflecting its partisan composition and historical voting patterns that favor GOP candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, traders appear to view the structural advantages of incumbency and district lean as durable, producing the current 83-16 split in implied probability. No major developments in the past 30 days have altered this positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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