Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a commanding position in California's 13th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. Redistricting shifted the seat toward a clearer Democratic lean, building on Gray's narrow 2024 flip of the prior Republican-held seat. The June 2 top-two primary advanced Gray and Republican Kevin Lincoln, eliminating other contenders and confirming the matchup. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Likely Democratic, with models projecting a substantial margin based on district fundamentals and incumbency advantages. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as shifts in national political conditions, turnout variations, or unforeseen campaign events could still influence the outcome before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-13 House Election Winner
CA-13 House Election Winner
$16,049 KL.
$16,049 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$16,049 KL.
$16,049 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,134 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$6,915 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a commanding position in California's 13th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. Redistricting shifted the seat toward a clearer Democratic lean, building on Gray's narrow 2024 flip of the prior Republican-held seat. The June 2 top-two primary advanced Gray and Republican Kevin Lincoln, eliminating other contenders and confirming the matchup. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Likely Democratic, with models projecting a substantial margin based on district fundamentals and incumbency advantages. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as shifts in national political conditions, turnout variations, or unforeseen campaign events could still influence the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
Khối lượng
$16,049Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a commanding position in California's 13th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. Redistricting shifted the seat toward a clearer Democratic lean, building on Gray's narrow 2024 flip of the prior Republican-held seat. The June 2 top-two primary advanced Gray and Republican Kevin Lincoln, eliminating other contenders and confirming the matchup. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Likely Democratic, with models projecting a substantial margin based on district fundamentals and incumbency advantages. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as shifts in national political conditions, turnout variations, or unforeseen campaign events could still influence the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$16,049Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a commanding position in California's 13th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. Redistricting shifted the seat toward a clearer Democratic lean, building on Gray's narrow 2024 flip of the prior Republican-held seat. The June 2 top-two primary advanced Gray and Republican Kevin Lincoln, eliminating other contenders and confirming the matchup. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Likely Democratic, with models projecting a substantial margin based on district fundamentals and incumbency advantages. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as shifts in national political conditions, turnout variations, or unforeseen campaign events could still influence the outcome before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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