California's 14th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+20 and consistent results in recent cycles. The April 2026 resignation of longtime Democratic incumbent Eric Swalwell triggered a special election with a June primary that advanced multiple Democratic candidates ahead of Republican contenders. Aisha Wahab secured the top spot with over one-third of the vote in early returns, positioning her or another Democrat for the August general. The district's Alameda County base and California's top-two primary system reinforce the trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome in the special election. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or party dynamics within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-14 House Election Winner
CA-14 House Election Winner
$29,319 KL.
$29,319 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
5%
$29,319 KL.
$29,319 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,958 KL.
96%
Republican Party
$18,361 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 14th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+20 and consistent results in recent cycles. The April 2026 resignation of longtime Democratic incumbent Eric Swalwell triggered a special election with a June primary that advanced multiple Democratic candidates ahead of Republican contenders. Aisha Wahab secured the top spot with over one-third of the vote in early returns, positioning her or another Democrat for the August general. The district's Alameda County base and California's top-two primary system reinforce the trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome in the special election. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or party dynamics within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$29,319Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 14th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+20 and consistent results in recent cycles. The April 2026 resignation of longtime Democratic incumbent Eric Swalwell triggered a special election with a June primary that advanced multiple Democratic candidates ahead of Republican contenders. Aisha Wahab secured the top spot with over one-third of the vote in early returns, positioning her or another Democrat for the August general. The district's Alameda County base and California's top-two primary system reinforce the trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome in the special election. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or party dynamics within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$29,319Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 14th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+20 and consistent results in recent cycles. The April 2026 resignation of longtime Democratic incumbent Eric Swalwell triggered a special election with a June primary that advanced multiple Democratic candidates ahead of Republican contenders. Aisha Wahab secured the top spot with over one-third of the vote in early returns, positioning her or another Democrat for the August general. The district's Alameda County base and California's top-two primary system reinforce the trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome in the special election. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or party dynamics within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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