Republican nominee Aaron Flint holds a 61% implied probability in the MT-01 House race, ahead of Democrat Sam Forstag at 37.5%, reflecting the district’s R+5 partisan lean and open-seat dynamics after incumbent Ryan Zinke’s retirement. Primaries concluded in June with Flint securing the GOP nomination after strong endorsements from Trump and Zinke, while Forstag emerged from a divided Democratic field. A June internal poll showed the candidates tied at 44% each among likely voters, underscoring the competitive general election environment. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as likely Republican, and trader positioning aligns with the district’s historical voting patterns and limited recent polling shifts ahead of the November vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
$11,119 KL.
$11,119 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
63%
Democratic Party
38%
$11,119 KL.
$11,119 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,168 KL.
63%
Democratic Party
$4,952 KL.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Aaron Flint holds a 61% implied probability in the MT-01 House race, ahead of Democrat Sam Forstag at 37.5%, reflecting the district’s R+5 partisan lean and open-seat dynamics after incumbent Ryan Zinke’s retirement. Primaries concluded in June with Flint securing the GOP nomination after strong endorsements from Trump and Zinke, while Forstag emerged from a divided Democratic field. A June internal poll showed the candidates tied at 44% each among likely voters, underscoring the competitive general election environment. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as likely Republican, and trader positioning aligns with the district’s historical voting patterns and limited recent polling shifts ahead of the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Khối lượng
$11,119Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Aaron Flint holds a 61% implied probability in the MT-01 House race, ahead of Democrat Sam Forstag at 37.5%, reflecting the district’s R+5 partisan lean and open-seat dynamics after incumbent Ryan Zinke’s retirement. Primaries concluded in June with Flint securing the GOP nomination after strong endorsements from Trump and Zinke, while Forstag emerged from a divided Democratic field. A June internal poll showed the candidates tied at 44% each among likely voters, underscoring the competitive general election environment. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as likely Republican, and trader positioning aligns with the district’s historical voting patterns and limited recent polling shifts ahead of the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$11,119Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Republican nominee Aaron Flint holds a 61% implied probability in the MT-01 House race, ahead of Democrat Sam Forstag at 37.5%, reflecting the district’s R+5 partisan lean and open-seat dynamics after incumbent Ryan Zinke’s retirement. Primaries concluded in June with Flint securing the GOP nomination after strong endorsements from Trump and Zinke, while Forstag emerged from a divided Democratic field. A June internal poll showed the candidates tied at 44% each among likely voters, underscoring the competitive general election environment. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as likely Republican, and trader positioning aligns with the district’s historical voting patterns and limited recent polling shifts ahead of the November vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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