Mark Pocan holds a commanding lead in the WI-02 House race due to the district's deep Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 to D+50 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. As the seven-term incumbent representing the Madison area, Pocan secured renomination in the August primary with nearly 88% of the vote. No Republican candidate qualified for the November general election ballot after potential challengers withdrew or failed to file, leaving the race effectively uncontested by the opposing party. Trader consensus at 97% for Pocan aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as an independent or write-in surge, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected ballot complications could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in this safe Democratic seat make such shifts improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWI-02 House Election Winner
WI-02 House Election Winner
$102,288 KL.
$102,288 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Mark Pocan (D)
97%
Republican Party
<1%
$102,288 KL.
$102,288 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Mark Pocan (D)
$62,181 KL.
97%
Republican Party
$40,107 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Pocan holds a commanding lead in the WI-02 House race due to the district's deep Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 to D+50 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. As the seven-term incumbent representing the Madison area, Pocan secured renomination in the August primary with nearly 88% of the vote. No Republican candidate qualified for the November general election ballot after potential challengers withdrew or failed to file, leaving the race effectively uncontested by the opposing party. Trader consensus at 97% for Pocan aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as an independent or write-in surge, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected ballot complications could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in this safe Democratic seat make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$102,288Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Pocan holds a commanding lead in the WI-02 House race due to the district's deep Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 to D+50 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. As the seven-term incumbent representing the Madison area, Pocan secured renomination in the August primary with nearly 88% of the vote. No Republican candidate qualified for the November general election ballot after potential challengers withdrew or failed to file, leaving the race effectively uncontested by the opposing party. Trader consensus at 97% for Pocan aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as an independent or write-in surge, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected ballot complications could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in this safe Democratic seat make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$102,288Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Pocan holds a commanding lead in the WI-02 House race due to the district's deep Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 to D+50 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. As the seven-term incumbent representing the Madison area, Pocan secured renomination in the August primary with nearly 88% of the vote. No Republican candidate qualified for the November general election ballot after potential challengers withdrew or failed to file, leaving the race effectively uncontested by the opposing party. Trader consensus at 97% for Pocan aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as an independent or write-in surge, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected ballot complications could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in this safe Democratic seat make such shifts improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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