Wisconsin's 1st congressional district remains closely contested ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the Republican incumbent Bryan Steil seeking a fifth term in a seat rated R+2 on the partisan voting index. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Miguel Aranda, Mitchell Berman, and Peter Burgelis, have entered the August primary, positioning themselves as working-class challengers from Racine County. The district's narrow partisan lean, combined with the open 2026 midterm environment and historical patterns of competitive House races in similar terrain, sustains trader consensus near even odds between the parties. Primary outcomes, candidate fundraising, and any shifts in national polling trends within the resolution window could widen separation before November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWI-01 House Election Winner
WI-01 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
57%
Republican Party
41%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$586 KL.
57%
Republican Party
$643 KL.
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 1st congressional district remains closely contested ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the Republican incumbent Bryan Steil seeking a fifth term in a seat rated R+2 on the partisan voting index. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Miguel Aranda, Mitchell Berman, and Peter Burgelis, have entered the August primary, positioning themselves as working-class challengers from Racine County. The district's narrow partisan lean, combined with the open 2026 midterm environment and historical patterns of competitive House races in similar terrain, sustains trader consensus near even odds between the parties. Primary outcomes, candidate fundraising, and any shifts in national polling trends within the resolution window could widen separation before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,229Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 1st congressional district remains closely contested ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the Republican incumbent Bryan Steil seeking a fifth term in a seat rated R+2 on the partisan voting index. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Miguel Aranda, Mitchell Berman, and Peter Burgelis, have entered the August primary, positioning themselves as working-class challengers from Racine County. The district's narrow partisan lean, combined with the open 2026 midterm environment and historical patterns of competitive House races in similar terrain, sustains trader consensus near even odds between the parties. Primary outcomes, candidate fundraising, and any shifts in national polling trends within the resolution window could widen separation before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$1,229Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 1st congressional district remains closely contested ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the Republican incumbent Bryan Steil seeking a fifth term in a seat rated R+2 on the partisan voting index. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Miguel Aranda, Mitchell Berman, and Peter Burgelis, have entered the August primary, positioning themselves as working-class challengers from Racine County. The district's narrow partisan lean, combined with the open 2026 midterm environment and historical patterns of competitive House races in similar terrain, sustains trader consensus near even odds between the parties. Primary outcomes, candidate fundraising, and any shifts in national polling trends within the resolution window could widen separation before November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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