Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Mike LiPetri in the November general election rematch. Suozzi holds a substantial fundraising lead, with over $5 million in cash on hand compared to LiPetri's roughly $700,000, supporting stronger campaign operations in this Long Island district. The seat leans competitive after Trump carried it in 2024 and Suozzi's narrow 2024 victory, yet nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify it as Lean Democratic. These elements, combined with the incumbent's name recognition and the absence of major new polling shifts since the primaries, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at current market levels.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-03 House Election Winner
NY-03 House Election Winner
$11,095 KL.
$11,095 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
86%
Republican Party
15%
$11,095 KL.
$11,095 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,266 KL.
86%
Republican Party
$6,828 KL.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Mike LiPetri in the November general election rematch. Suozzi holds a substantial fundraising lead, with over $5 million in cash on hand compared to LiPetri's roughly $700,000, supporting stronger campaign operations in this Long Island district. The seat leans competitive after Trump carried it in 2024 and Suozzi's narrow 2024 victory, yet nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify it as Lean Democratic. These elements, combined with the incumbent's name recognition and the absence of major new polling shifts since the primaries, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at current market levels.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$11,095Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Mike LiPetri in the November general election rematch. Suozzi holds a substantial fundraising lead, with over $5 million in cash on hand compared to LiPetri's roughly $700,000, supporting stronger campaign operations in this Long Island district. The seat leans competitive after Trump carried it in 2024 and Suozzi's narrow 2024 victory, yet nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify it as Lean Democratic. These elements, combined with the incumbent's name recognition and the absence of major new polling shifts since the primaries, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at current market levels.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$11,095Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Mike LiPetri in the November general election rematch. Suozzi holds a substantial fundraising lead, with over $5 million in cash on hand compared to LiPetri's roughly $700,000, supporting stronger campaign operations in this Long Island district. The seat leans competitive after Trump carried it in 2024 and Suozzi's narrow 2024 victory, yet nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify it as Lean Democratic. These elements, combined with the incumbent's name recognition and the absence of major new polling shifts since the primaries, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at current market levels.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp