Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Ralph Ambrosio in the November general election for New York’s 20th congressional district. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, combined with Tonko’s long tenure and established constituent relationships in the Capital Region, underpins trader consensus around a strong Democratic outcome. Low visibility for the Republican challenger and absence of major recent controversies or polling shifts further support the current pricing. Potential developments that could narrow the gap include a significant national Republican surge, an unexpected scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout favoring the opposition in key suburban or rural precincts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-20 House Election Winner
NY-20 House Election Winner
$32,956 KL.
$32,956 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
2%
$32,956 KL.
$32,956 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,989 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$16,966 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Ralph Ambrosio in the November general election for New York’s 20th congressional district. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, combined with Tonko’s long tenure and established constituent relationships in the Capital Region, underpins trader consensus around a strong Democratic outcome. Low visibility for the Republican challenger and absence of major recent controversies or polling shifts further support the current pricing. Potential developments that could narrow the gap include a significant national Republican surge, an unexpected scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout favoring the opposition in key suburban or rural precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$32,956Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Ralph Ambrosio in the November general election for New York’s 20th congressional district. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, combined with Tonko’s long tenure and established constituent relationships in the Capital Region, underpins trader consensus around a strong Democratic outcome. Low visibility for the Republican challenger and absence of major recent controversies or polling shifts further support the current pricing. Potential developments that could narrow the gap include a significant national Republican surge, an unexpected scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout favoring the opposition in key suburban or rural precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$32,956Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Ralph Ambrosio in the November general election for New York’s 20th congressional district. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, combined with Tonko’s long tenure and established constituent relationships in the Capital Region, underpins trader consensus around a strong Democratic outcome. Low visibility for the Republican challenger and absence of major recent controversies or polling shifts further support the current pricing. Potential developments that could narrow the gap include a significant national Republican surge, an unexpected scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout favoring the opposition in key suburban or rural precincts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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