Missouri's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 91.5%, bolstered by incumbent Rep. Mark Alford's strong reelection campaign in the redrawn seat incorporating Kansas City suburbs. Recent candidate filings finalized on April 10 revealed Alford facing two GOP primary challengers—Heather Shelton and Scott Vincent Vera—while Democrats field a fragmented eight-candidate primary including Jeanette Cass and others, lacking a standout after Kansas City Mayor Quinton Lucas declined to run. Alford's prior 71% general election win underscores incumbency advantages ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Realistic challenges include a GOP primary upset, Democratic consolidation behind a well-funded nominee, or unforeseen scandals shifting midterm dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMO-04 House Election Winner
MO-04 House Election Winner
$14,221 KL.
$14,221 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
7%
$14,221 KL.
$14,221 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,436 KL.
92%
Democratic Party
$5,786 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 91.5%, bolstered by incumbent Rep. Mark Alford's strong reelection campaign in the redrawn seat incorporating Kansas City suburbs. Recent candidate filings finalized on April 10 revealed Alford facing two GOP primary challengers—Heather Shelton and Scott Vincent Vera—while Democrats field a fragmented eight-candidate primary including Jeanette Cass and others, lacking a standout after Kansas City Mayor Quinton Lucas declined to run. Alford's prior 71% general election win underscores incumbency advantages ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Realistic challenges include a GOP primary upset, Democratic consolidation behind a well-funded nominee, or unforeseen scandals shifting midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$14,221Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 91.5%, bolstered by incumbent Rep. Mark Alford's strong reelection campaign in the redrawn seat incorporating Kansas City suburbs. Recent candidate filings finalized on April 10 revealed Alford facing two GOP primary challengers—Heather Shelton and Scott Vincent Vera—while Democrats field a fragmented eight-candidate primary including Jeanette Cass and others, lacking a standout after Kansas City Mayor Quinton Lucas declined to run. Alford's prior 71% general election win underscores incumbency advantages ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Realistic challenges include a GOP primary upset, Democratic consolidation behind a well-funded nominee, or unforeseen scandals shifting midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$14,221Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 91.5%, bolstered by incumbent Rep. Mark Alford's strong reelection campaign in the redrawn seat incorporating Kansas City suburbs. Recent candidate filings finalized on April 10 revealed Alford facing two GOP primary challengers—Heather Shelton and Scott Vincent Vera—while Democrats field a fragmented eight-candidate primary including Jeanette Cass and others, lacking a standout after Kansas City Mayor Quinton Lucas declined to run. Alford's prior 71% general election win underscores incumbency advantages ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Realistic challenges include a GOP primary upset, Democratic consolidation behind a well-funded nominee, or unforeseen scandals shifting midterm dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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