Tennessee's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and favored Republican presidential candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, establishing a durable structural advantage for the party nominee. With incumbent John Rose pursuing the governorship, the August 6, 2026 Republican primary produced a clear nominee in state Representative Johnny Garrett, while Democrats advanced multiple contenders including Mike Croley for the November general election. Election forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus that assigns the Republican Party a 93.5% implied probability. Late developments such as an unusually strong Democratic performance, a major scandal, or a pronounced national midterm shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome in the remaining months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTN-06 House Election Winner
TN-06 House Election Winner
$12,303 KL.
$12,303 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$12,303 KL.
$12,303 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,356 KL.
94%
Democratic Party
$3,947 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and favored Republican presidential candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, establishing a durable structural advantage for the party nominee. With incumbent John Rose pursuing the governorship, the August 6, 2026 Republican primary produced a clear nominee in state Representative Johnny Garrett, while Democrats advanced multiple contenders including Mike Croley for the November general election. Election forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus that assigns the Republican Party a 93.5% implied probability. Late developments such as an unusually strong Democratic performance, a major scandal, or a pronounced national midterm shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome in the remaining months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$12,303Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and favored Republican presidential candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, establishing a durable structural advantage for the party nominee. With incumbent John Rose pursuing the governorship, the August 6, 2026 Republican primary produced a clear nominee in state Representative Johnny Garrett, while Democrats advanced multiple contenders including Mike Croley for the November general election. Election forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus that assigns the Republican Party a 93.5% implied probability. Late developments such as an unusually strong Democratic performance, a major scandal, or a pronounced national midterm shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome in the remaining months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$12,303Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and favored Republican presidential candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, establishing a durable structural advantage for the party nominee. With incumbent John Rose pursuing the governorship, the August 6, 2026 Republican primary produced a clear nominee in state Representative Johnny Garrett, while Democrats advanced multiple contenders including Mike Croley for the November general election. Election forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus that assigns the Republican Party a 93.5% implied probability. Late developments such as an unusually strong Democratic performance, a major scandal, or a pronounced national midterm shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome in the remaining months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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