Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith's easy victory in the March 10 Republican primary against novelist Sarah Adlakha has solidified her path to the November 3 general election against Democratic district attorney Scott Colom, who prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary with turnout nearly matching GOP levels. Trader consensus prices Republicans at 91% implied probability, reflecting Mississippi's deep-red status—where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1982—bolstered by Hyde-Smith's incumbency advantage, fundraising superiority (nearly five times Colom's cash on hand as of early April), and historical GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. While strong Democratic primary participation hints at mobilization potential, upsetting this would require a major scandal, health event, or national anti-incumbent wave targeting Republicans.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMississippi Senate Election Winner
Mississippi Senate Election Winner
$13,092 KL.
$13,092 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
91%
Democrat
9%
$13,092 KL.
$13,092 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$10,840 KL.
91%
Democrat
$2,252 KL.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith's easy victory in the March 10 Republican primary against novelist Sarah Adlakha has solidified her path to the November 3 general election against Democratic district attorney Scott Colom, who prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary with turnout nearly matching GOP levels. Trader consensus prices Republicans at 91% implied probability, reflecting Mississippi's deep-red status—where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1982—bolstered by Hyde-Smith's incumbency advantage, fundraising superiority (nearly five times Colom's cash on hand as of early April), and historical GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. While strong Democratic primary participation hints at mobilization potential, upsetting this would require a major scandal, health event, or national anti-incumbent wave targeting Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$13,092Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith's easy victory in the March 10 Republican primary against novelist Sarah Adlakha has solidified her path to the November 3 general election against Democratic district attorney Scott Colom, who prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary with turnout nearly matching GOP levels. Trader consensus prices Republicans at 91% implied probability, reflecting Mississippi's deep-red status—where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1982—bolstered by Hyde-Smith's incumbency advantage, fundraising superiority (nearly five times Colom's cash on hand as of early April), and historical GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. While strong Democratic primary participation hints at mobilization potential, upsetting this would require a major scandal, health event, or national anti-incumbent wave targeting Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$13,092Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith's easy victory in the March 10 Republican primary against novelist Sarah Adlakha has solidified her path to the November 3 general election against Democratic district attorney Scott Colom, who prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary with turnout nearly matching GOP levels. Trader consensus prices Republicans at 91% implied probability, reflecting Mississippi's deep-red status—where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1982—bolstered by Hyde-Smith's incumbency advantage, fundraising superiority (nearly five times Colom's cash on hand as of early April), and historical GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. While strong Democratic primary participation hints at mobilization potential, upsetting this would require a major scandal, health event, or national anti-incumbent wave targeting Republicans.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp