Minnesota's 4th congressional district, encompassing much of Saint Paul and surrounding Ramsey County areas, maintains a consistent Democratic-Farmer-Labor lean that underpins trader pricing. Incumbent Betty McCollum, seeking reelection in the November 2026 general election after winning 67.6% in 2024, faces only minor primary opposition on August 11 and Republican primary contenders with limited visibility or fundraising. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting stable voter registration patterns, historical margins, and absence of recent polling shifts or major developments that would alter the balance. A significant national Republican wave, unforeseen scandal, or health-related withdrawal could narrow the gap, though such factors remain low-probability based on current indicators.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMN-04 House Election Winner
MN-04 House Election Winner
$11,370 KL.
$11,370 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$11,370 KL.
$11,370 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,370 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$8,000 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 4th congressional district, encompassing much of Saint Paul and surrounding Ramsey County areas, maintains a consistent Democratic-Farmer-Labor lean that underpins trader pricing. Incumbent Betty McCollum, seeking reelection in the November 2026 general election after winning 67.6% in 2024, faces only minor primary opposition on August 11 and Republican primary contenders with limited visibility or fundraising. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting stable voter registration patterns, historical margins, and absence of recent polling shifts or major developments that would alter the balance. A significant national Republican wave, unforeseen scandal, or health-related withdrawal could narrow the gap, though such factors remain low-probability based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,370Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 4th congressional district, encompassing much of Saint Paul and surrounding Ramsey County areas, maintains a consistent Democratic-Farmer-Labor lean that underpins trader pricing. Incumbent Betty McCollum, seeking reelection in the November 2026 general election after winning 67.6% in 2024, faces only minor primary opposition on August 11 and Republican primary contenders with limited visibility or fundraising. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting stable voter registration patterns, historical margins, and absence of recent polling shifts or major developments that would alter the balance. A significant national Republican wave, unforeseen scandal, or health-related withdrawal could narrow the gap, though such factors remain low-probability based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$11,370Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 4th congressional district, encompassing much of Saint Paul and surrounding Ramsey County areas, maintains a consistent Democratic-Farmer-Labor lean that underpins trader pricing. Incumbent Betty McCollum, seeking reelection in the November 2026 general election after winning 67.6% in 2024, faces only minor primary opposition on August 11 and Republican primary contenders with limited visibility or fundraising. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting stable voter registration patterns, historical margins, and absence of recent polling shifts or major developments that would alter the balance. A significant national Republican wave, unforeseen scandal, or health-related withdrawal could narrow the gap, though such factors remain low-probability based on current indicators.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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