Minnesota's 4th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Safe Democratic" or "Solid Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Betty McCollum, first elected in 2000, faces only token opposition in the August 11 Democratic primary and limited Republican primary challengers ahead of the November 3 general election. The district's urban and suburban composition around St. Paul has delivered wide margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually potent national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district's established partisan baseline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMN-04 House Election Winner
MN-04 House Election Winner
$11,370 KL.
$11,370 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$11,370 KL.
$11,370 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,370 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$8,000 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 4th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Safe Democratic" or "Solid Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Betty McCollum, first elected in 2000, faces only token opposition in the August 11 Democratic primary and limited Republican primary challengers ahead of the November 3 general election. The district's urban and suburban composition around St. Paul has delivered wide margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually potent national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district's established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,370Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 4th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Safe Democratic" or "Solid Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Betty McCollum, first elected in 2000, faces only token opposition in the August 11 Democratic primary and limited Republican primary challengers ahead of the November 3 general election. The district's urban and suburban composition around St. Paul has delivered wide margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually potent national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district's established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$11,370Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 4th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Safe Democratic" or "Solid Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Betty McCollum, first elected in 2000, faces only token opposition in the August 11 Democratic primary and limited Republican primary challengers ahead of the November 3 general election. The district's urban and suburban composition around St. Paul has delivered wide margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually potent national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district's established partisan baseline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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