Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent solid or safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ilhan Omar, who won reelection with 74% in 2024 after opting against a Senate bid, faces several challengers in the August 11 Democratic primary but holds a clear edge in fundraising and name recognition. Republican primary contenders remain limited in visibility and resources, aligning with the district's urban Minneapolis core and historical results. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee accounts for this structural advantage, though an unexpected primary upset, major scandal, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still shift general-election dynamics within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMN-05 House Election Winner
MN-05 House Election Winner
$41,011 KL.
$41,011 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
3%
$41,011 KL.
$41,011 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$17,009 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$24,002 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent solid or safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ilhan Omar, who won reelection with 74% in 2024 after opting against a Senate bid, faces several challengers in the August 11 Democratic primary but holds a clear edge in fundraising and name recognition. Republican primary contenders remain limited in visibility and resources, aligning with the district's urban Minneapolis core and historical results. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee accounts for this structural advantage, though an unexpected primary upset, major scandal, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still shift general-election dynamics within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$41,011Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent solid or safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ilhan Omar, who won reelection with 74% in 2024 after opting against a Senate bid, faces several challengers in the August 11 Democratic primary but holds a clear edge in fundraising and name recognition. Republican primary contenders remain limited in visibility and resources, aligning with the district's urban Minneapolis core and historical results. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee accounts for this structural advantage, though an unexpected primary upset, major scandal, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still shift general-election dynamics within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$41,011Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent solid or safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ilhan Omar, who won reelection with 74% in 2024 after opting against a Senate bid, faces several challengers in the August 11 Democratic primary but holds a clear edge in fundraising and name recognition. Republican primary contenders remain limited in visibility and resources, aligning with the district's urban Minneapolis core and historical results. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee accounts for this structural advantage, though an unexpected primary upset, major scandal, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still shift general-election dynamics within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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