Republican Julia Letlow secured the nomination after defeating state Treasurer John Fleming in the June 2026 runoff and ousting incumbent Bill Cassidy in the May primary, aided by President Trump's endorsement. Louisiana's consistent Republican tilt, evidenced by the party's 22-point presidential margin in 2024 and control of all statewide offices, underpins trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican win against Democrat Jamie Davis on November 3. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and historical voting patterns. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include late candidate controversies, shifts in national political sentiment, or unusually high Democratic turnout that alters the state's baseline partisan dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLouisiana Senate Election Winner
Louisiana Senate Election Winner
$35,035 KL.
$35,035 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
93%
Democrat
7%
$35,035 KL.
$35,035 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
$13,735 KL.
93%
Democrat
$21,299 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Julia Letlow secured the nomination after defeating state Treasurer John Fleming in the June 2026 runoff and ousting incumbent Bill Cassidy in the May primary, aided by President Trump's endorsement. Louisiana's consistent Republican tilt, evidenced by the party's 22-point presidential margin in 2024 and control of all statewide offices, underpins trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican win against Democrat Jamie Davis on November 3. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and historical voting patterns. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include late candidate controversies, shifts in national political sentiment, or unusually high Democratic turnout that alters the state's baseline partisan dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$35,035Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Julia Letlow secured the nomination after defeating state Treasurer John Fleming in the June 2026 runoff and ousting incumbent Bill Cassidy in the May primary, aided by President Trump's endorsement. Louisiana's consistent Republican tilt, evidenced by the party's 22-point presidential margin in 2024 and control of all statewide offices, underpins trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican win against Democrat Jamie Davis on November 3. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and historical voting patterns. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include late candidate controversies, shifts in national political sentiment, or unusually high Democratic turnout that alters the state's baseline partisan dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$35,035Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Julia Letlow secured the nomination after defeating state Treasurer John Fleming in the June 2026 runoff and ousting incumbent Bill Cassidy in the May primary, aided by President Trump's endorsement. Louisiana's consistent Republican tilt, evidenced by the party's 22-point presidential margin in 2024 and control of all statewide offices, underpins trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican win against Democrat Jamie Davis on November 3. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and historical voting patterns. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include late candidate controversies, shifts in national political sentiment, or unusually high Democratic turnout that alters the state's baseline partisan dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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