Dan Koh's 75.5% implied probability in the MA-06 Democratic primary trader consensus stems from his fundraising dominance—over $3.5 million raised, including $1.5 million in Q1 2026—and a flurry of recent endorsements, such as Peabody Councilor Jon Turco's April 23 switch after Rick Jakious's exit, IBEW Local 2222 and AFSCME Council 93 in early April, Rep. Robert Garcia on April 13, and backers like Vice President Kamala Harris. In this open-seat race after Rep. Seth Moulton's Senate challenge, Koh's Andover select board experience and White House tenure solidify his frontrunner status against a fragmented field. Mariah Lancaster holds second at 5.5% with progressive appeals, while self-funder John Beccia lags at 2.1%. September 1 primary looms, with Q2 fundraising reports poised to influence odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMA-06 Democratic Primary Winner
MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Dan Koh 76%
Mariah Lancaster 5.9%
Tram Nguyen 3.8%
Diann Slavit Baylis 3.7%
$35,963 KL.
$35,963 KL.
Dan Koh
76%
Mariah Lancaster
6%
Tram Nguyen
4%
Diann Slavit Baylis
4%
Kevin Larivee
3%
John Beccia
2%
Rachel Creemers
1%
Rick Jakious
1%
Jamie Zahlaway Belsito
1%
Seth Moulton
1%
Beth Andres-Beck
<1%
Dominick Pangallo
<1%
Dan Koh 76%
Mariah Lancaster 5.9%
Tram Nguyen 3.8%
Diann Slavit Baylis 3.7%
$35,963 KL.
$35,963 KL.
Dan Koh
76%
Mariah Lancaster
6%
Tram Nguyen
4%
Diann Slavit Baylis
4%
Kevin Larivee
3%
John Beccia
2%
Rachel Creemers
1%
Rick Jakious
1%
Jamie Zahlaway Belsito
1%
Seth Moulton
1%
Beth Andres-Beck
<1%
Dominick Pangallo
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Dan Koh's 75.5% implied probability in the MA-06 Democratic primary trader consensus stems from his fundraising dominance—over $3.5 million raised, including $1.5 million in Q1 2026—and a flurry of recent endorsements, such as Peabody Councilor Jon Turco's April 23 switch after Rick Jakious's exit, IBEW Local 2222 and AFSCME Council 93 in early April, Rep. Robert Garcia on April 13, and backers like Vice President Kamala Harris. In this open-seat race after Rep. Seth Moulton's Senate challenge, Koh's Andover select board experience and White House tenure solidify his frontrunner status against a fragmented field. Mariah Lancaster holds second at 5.5% with progressive appeals, while self-funder John Beccia lags at 2.1%. September 1 primary looms, with Q2 fundraising reports poised to influence odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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