Aisha Wahab holds the leading trader consensus at 75.5% in the CA-14 special election market, reflecting her California Democratic Party endorsement and position as the sitting state senator representing an overlapping East Bay district in this heavily Democratic congressional seat vacated by Eric Swalwell. Recent primary results from early June showed Wahab advancing with a clear first-place finish near 34% of the vote, outpacing other Democratic contenders including Melissa Hernandez. The district's partisan makeup and her institutional support have positioned her as the frontrunner for the June 16 special primary and any August 18 runoff, while lower-priced candidates such as Hernandez, Matt Ortega, and Rakhi Israni Singh trail due to narrower name recognition and weaker party backing in the current cycle.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-14 Special Election Winner?
CA-14 Special Election Winner?
Aisha Wahab 90%
Matt Ortega 12.3%
Victor Aguilar Jr. 7.0%
Carin Elam 4.1%
Aisha Wahab
75%
Melissa Hernandez
40%
Wendy Huang
4%
Carin Elam
4%
Matt Ortega
12%
Rakhi Israni Singh
9%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
7%
Aisha Wahab 90%
Matt Ortega 12.3%
Victor Aguilar Jr. 7.0%
Carin Elam 4.1%
Aisha Wahab
75%
Melissa Hernandez
40%
Wendy Huang
4%
Carin Elam
4%
Matt Ortega
12%
Rakhi Israni Singh
9%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Thị trường mở: Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aisha Wahab holds the leading trader consensus at 75.5% in the CA-14 special election market, reflecting her California Democratic Party endorsement and position as the sitting state senator representing an overlapping East Bay district in this heavily Democratic congressional seat vacated by Eric Swalwell. Recent primary results from early June showed Wahab advancing with a clear first-place finish near 34% of the vote, outpacing other Democratic contenders including Melissa Hernandez. The district's partisan makeup and her institutional support have positioned her as the frontrunner for the June 16 special primary and any August 18 runoff, while lower-priced candidates such as Hernandez, Matt Ortega, and Rakhi Israni Singh trail due to narrower name recognition and weaker party backing in the current cycle.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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