State Sen. Aisha Wahab’s commanding position in the June 2026 special primary for California’s 14th Congressional District, triggered by former Rep. Eric Swalwell’s April resignation, has driven trader consensus toward her as the likely winner. Her California Democratic Party endorsement, status as a sitting state senator whose district overlaps the heavily Democratic East Bay seat, and early vote tallies exceeding 34 percent have reinforced this lead over challengers including Melissa Hernandez. The top-two primary format means a runoff on August 18 remains possible if no candidate secures a majority, though Wahab’s momentum and institutional support make her the frontrunner in trader assessments of the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-14 Special Election Winner?
CA-14 Special Election Winner?
Aisha Wahab 90%
Matt Ortega 12.3%
Victor Aguilar Jr. 7.5%
Carin Elam 4.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
Aisha Wahab
75%
Melissa Hernandez
39%
Wendy Huang
4%
Carin Elam
4%
Matt Ortega
12%
Rakhi Israni Singh
9%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
8%
Aisha Wahab 90%
Matt Ortega 12.3%
Victor Aguilar Jr. 7.5%
Carin Elam 4.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
Aisha Wahab
$550 KL.
75%
Melissa Hernandez
$325 KL.
39%
Wendy Huang
$530 KL.
4%
Carin Elam
$253 KL.
4%
Matt Ortega
$226 KL.
12%
Rakhi Israni Singh
$743 KL.
9%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
$220 KL.
8%
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.State Sen. Aisha Wahab’s commanding position in the June 2026 special primary for California’s 14th Congressional District, triggered by former Rep. Eric Swalwell’s April resignation, has driven trader consensus toward her as the likely winner. Her California Democratic Party endorsement, status as a sitting state senator whose district overlaps the heavily Democratic East Bay seat, and early vote tallies exceeding 34 percent have reinforced this lead over challengers including Melissa Hernandez. The top-two primary format means a runoff on August 18 remains possible if no candidate secures a majority, though Wahab’s momentum and institutional support make her the frontrunner in trader assessments of the outcome.
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Thị trường mở: Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,847Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.State Sen. Aisha Wahab’s commanding position in the June 2026 special primary for California’s 14th Congressional District, triggered by former Rep. Eric Swalwell’s April resignation, has driven trader consensus toward her as the likely winner. Her California Democratic Party endorsement, status as a sitting state senator whose district overlaps the heavily Democratic East Bay seat, and early vote tallies exceeding 34 percent have reinforced this lead over challengers including Melissa Hernandez. The top-two primary format means a runoff on August 18 remains possible if no candidate secures a majority, though Wahab’s momentum and institutional support make her the frontrunner in trader assessments of the outcome.
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Khối lượng
$2,847Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...State Sen. Aisha Wahab’s commanding position in the June 2026 special primary for California’s 14th Congressional District, triggered by former Rep. Eric Swalwell’s April resignation, has driven trader consensus toward her as the likely winner. Her California Democratic Party endorsement, status as a sitting state senator whose district overlaps the heavily Democratic East Bay seat, and early vote tallies exceeding 34 percent have reinforced this lead over challengers including Melissa Hernandez. The top-two primary format means a runoff on August 18 remains possible if no candidate secures a majority, though Wahab’s momentum and institutional support make her the frontrunner in trader assessments of the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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