Elevated nationalization of the 2026 House contests as a referendum on the Trump administration has driven trader consensus toward 115-130 million total votes, with the leading ranges clustered tightly due to competing turnout signals. Democratic primary and special-election overperformance, coupled with generic-ballot leads near D+6 and lower presidential approval, point to stronger opposition mobilization than in prior off-years. Republicans counter with targeted outreach to low-propensity voters from their 2024 coalition and data-driven models, while record primary participation in states like Texas and California suggests baseline engagement above historical 100-115 million midterm totals. Competitive districts, fundraising surges, and economic messaging could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist, whereas base fatigue or weaker youth registration might compress totals toward lower ranges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật125-130m 23%
115-120m 20%
120-125m 19%
130m+ 12.5%
$25,892 KL.
$25,892 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
<85m
1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
3%
95-100m
4%
100-105m
5%
105-110m
8%
110-115m
12%
115-120m
20%
120-125m
19%
125-130m
23%
130m+
10%
125-130m 23%
115-120m 20%
120-125m 19%
130m+ 12.5%
$25,892 KL.
$25,892 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
<85m
$597 KL.
1%
85-90m
$599 KL.
<1%
90-95m
$1,723 KL.
3%
95-100m
$380 KL.
4%
100-105m
$1,195 KL.
5%
105-110m
$931 KL.
8%
110-115m
$4,334 KL.
12%
115-120m
$4,036 KL.
20%
120-125m
$8,340 KL.
19%
125-130m
$2,819 KL.
23%
130m+
$938 KL.
10%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Elevated nationalization of the 2026 House contests as a referendum on the Trump administration has driven trader consensus toward 115-130 million total votes, with the leading ranges clustered tightly due to competing turnout signals. Democratic primary and special-election overperformance, coupled with generic-ballot leads near D+6 and lower presidential approval, point to stronger opposition mobilization than in prior off-years. Republicans counter with targeted outreach to low-propensity voters from their 2024 coalition and data-driven models, while record primary participation in states like Texas and California suggests baseline engagement above historical 100-115 million midterm totals. Competitive districts, fundraising surges, and economic messaging could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist, whereas base fatigue or weaker youth registration might compress totals toward lower ranges.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Thị trường mở: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Khối lượng
$25,892Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Elevated nationalization of the 2026 House contests as a referendum on the Trump administration has driven trader consensus toward 115-130 million total votes, with the leading ranges clustered tightly due to competing turnout signals. Democratic primary and special-election overperformance, coupled with generic-ballot leads near D+6 and lower presidential approval, point to stronger opposition mobilization than in prior off-years. Republicans counter with targeted outreach to low-propensity voters from their 2024 coalition and data-driven models, while record primary participation in states like Texas and California suggests baseline engagement above historical 100-115 million midterm totals. Competitive districts, fundraising surges, and economic messaging could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist, whereas base fatigue or weaker youth registration might compress totals toward lower ranges.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Khối lượng
$25,892Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Elevated nationalization of the 2026 House contests as a referendum on the Trump administration has driven trader consensus toward 115-130 million total votes, with the leading ranges clustered tightly due to competing turnout signals. Democratic primary and special-election overperformance, coupled with generic-ballot leads near D+6 and lower presidential approval, point to stronger opposition mobilization than in prior off-years. Republicans counter with targeted outreach to low-propensity voters from their 2024 coalition and data-driven models, while record primary participation in states like Texas and California suggests baseline engagement above historical 100-115 million midterm totals. Competitive districts, fundraising surges, and economic messaging could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist, whereas base fatigue or weaker youth registration might compress totals toward lower ranges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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