Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout remains tightly contested between 125-130 million votes at 23.5% and 115-120 million at 19%, reflecting uncertainty over whether participation will echo 2018's near-record 118 million amid sustained polarization under President Trump's second term or dip toward 2022's 108 million. Recent special elections in Georgia and Wisconsin showed Democrats overperforming with strong turnout, while a February Washington Post poll highlighted a wide Democratic enthusiasm gap over Republicans, signaling potential mobilization among key voting blocs like youth and minorities. High primary turnout in states like North Carolina further fuels upside risks, though historical midterm patterns and off-year fatigue could cap totals; upcoming generic ballot polls and registration drives through summer primaries will likely clarify the path.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật115-120m 18%
125-130m 17%
110-115m 15%
105-110m 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
4%
85-90m
9%
90-95m
<1%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
6%
105-110m
14%
110-115m
15%
115-120m
18%
120-125m
13%
125-130m
23%
130m+
6%
115-120m 18%
125-130m 17%
110-115m 15%
105-110m 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
$319 KL.
4%
85-90m
$419 KL.
9%
90-95m
$831 KL.
<1%
95-100m
$269 KL.
3%
100-105m
$631 KL.
6%
105-110m
$431 KL.
14%
110-115m
$440 KL.
15%
115-120m
$1,020 KL.
18%
120-125m
$371 KL.
13%
125-130m
$1,158 KL.
23%
130m+
$245 KL.
6%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout remains tightly contested between 125-130 million votes at 23.5% and 115-120 million at 19%, reflecting uncertainty over whether participation will echo 2018's near-record 118 million amid sustained polarization under President Trump's second term or dip toward 2022's 108 million. Recent special elections in Georgia and Wisconsin showed Democrats overperforming with strong turnout, while a February Washington Post poll highlighted a wide Democratic enthusiasm gap over Republicans, signaling potential mobilization among key voting blocs like youth and minorities. High primary turnout in states like North Carolina further fuels upside risks, though historical midterm patterns and off-year fatigue could cap totals; upcoming generic ballot polls and registration drives through summer primaries will likely clarify the path.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Thị trường mở: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,132Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout remains tightly contested between 125-130 million votes at 23.5% and 115-120 million at 19%, reflecting uncertainty over whether participation will echo 2018's near-record 118 million amid sustained polarization under President Trump's second term or dip toward 2022's 108 million. Recent special elections in Georgia and Wisconsin showed Democrats overperforming with strong turnout, while a February Washington Post poll highlighted a wide Democratic enthusiasm gap over Republicans, signaling potential mobilization among key voting blocs like youth and minorities. High primary turnout in states like North Carolina further fuels upside risks, though historical midterm patterns and off-year fatigue could cap totals; upcoming generic ballot polls and registration drives through summer primaries will likely clarify the path.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Khối lượng
$6,132Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout remains tightly contested between 125-130 million votes at 23.5% and 115-120 million at 19%, reflecting uncertainty over whether participation will echo 2018's near-record 118 million amid sustained polarization under President Trump's second term or dip toward 2022's 108 million. Recent special elections in Georgia and Wisconsin showed Democrats overperforming with strong turnout, while a February Washington Post poll highlighted a wide Democratic enthusiasm gap over Republicans, signaling potential mobilization among key voting blocs like youth and minorities. High primary turnout in states like North Carolina further fuels upside risks, though historical midterm patterns and off-year fatigue could cap totals; upcoming generic ballot polls and registration drives through summer primaries will likely clarify the path.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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