KMT candidates hold strong leads in multiple key races according to recent polling, building on the party's 16 incumbencies entering the cycle and coordinated nominations that limit vote splitting in most localities. Recent surveys updated through mid-September show KMT nominees ahead in Taipei, New Taipei, Taoyuan, and Taichung, while DPP holds advantages in traditional southern strongholds such as Tainan and Kaohsiung. Strains in the KMT-TPP alliance over joint candidacies in places like Hsinchu County have not altered the broader pattern favoring KMT gains or holds across the 22 contested executive positions. Candidate registration closed in early September, with the November 28 vote also featuring opposition-backed referendums on nuclear policy that could influence turnout. These dynamics underpin the current trader consensus pricing KMT as the clear frontrunner for the most mayoral and magisterial wins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
Kuomintang (KMT) 88%
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) 11.8%
Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) <1%
$179,582 KL.
$179,582 KL.

Kuomintang (KMT)
88%

Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)
12%

Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)
<1%
Kuomintang (KMT) 88%
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) 11.8%
Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) <1%
$179,582 KL.
$179,582 KL.

Kuomintang (KMT)
88%

Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)
12%

Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City
Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County
Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 4, 2025, 3:31 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City
Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County
Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...KMT candidates hold strong leads in multiple key races according to recent polling, building on the party's 16 incumbencies entering the cycle and coordinated nominations that limit vote splitting in most localities. Recent surveys updated through mid-September show KMT nominees ahead in Taipei, New Taipei, Taoyuan, and Taichung, while DPP holds advantages in traditional southern strongholds such as Tainan and Kaohsiung. Strains in the KMT-TPP alliance over joint candidacies in places like Hsinchu County have not altered the broader pattern favoring KMT gains or holds across the 22 contested executive positions. Candidate registration closed in early September, with the November 28 vote also featuring opposition-backed referendums on nuclear policy that could influence turnout. These dynamics underpin the current trader consensus pricing KMT as the clear frontrunner for the most mayoral and magisterial wins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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