Polymarket traders price June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) futures settlement probabilities tightly clustered in the $4,200-$5,400 range, with 19% implied odds for $4,200-$4,600 edging out $5,000-$5,400 (17.1%) and $4,600-$5,000 (17%), reflecting consensus around current front-month trading near $4,880 after today's 1.5% rally off $4,800 support. This competitive positioning stems from persistent central bank gold purchases amid diversification from USD reserves, sticky inflation evidenced by March 2026 CPI at 3.3% year-over-year (up from 2.4%), and declining real yields with 10-year Treasury at 4.25% and DXY near 98.1. Key differentiators include potential FOMC signals at the April 28-29 meeting on rate cuts versus hotter data, alongside Middle East geopolitical risks; upcoming April CPI on May 12 could sway sentiment toward higher bins if pressures endure.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVàng (GC) sẽ thanh toán ở mức nào trong tháng 6?
Vàng (GC) sẽ thanh toán ở mức nào trong tháng 6?
$4,200-$4,600 19.0%
$5,000-$5,400 17.0%
$4,600-$5,000 17%
$5,400-$5,800 13%
$892,251 KL.
$892,251 KL.
<$3,800
7%
$3,800-$4,200
12%
$4,200-$4,600
19%
$4,600-$5,000
17%
$5,000-$5,400
17%
$5,400-$5,800
13%
$5,800-$6,200
8%
>$6,200
5%
$4,200-$4,600 19.0%
$5,000-$5,400 17.0%
$4,600-$5,000 17%
$5,400-$5,800 13%
$892,251 KL.
$892,251 KL.
<$3,800
7%
$3,800-$4,200
12%
$4,200-$4,600
19%
$4,600-$5,000
17%
$5,000-$5,400
17%
$5,400-$5,800
13%
$5,800-$6,200
8%
>$6,200
5%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Thị trường mở: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) futures settlement probabilities tightly clustered in the $4,200-$5,400 range, with 19% implied odds for $4,200-$4,600 edging out $5,000-$5,400 (17.1%) and $4,600-$5,000 (17%), reflecting consensus around current front-month trading near $4,880 after today's 1.5% rally off $4,800 support. This competitive positioning stems from persistent central bank gold purchases amid diversification from USD reserves, sticky inflation evidenced by March 2026 CPI at 3.3% year-over-year (up from 2.4%), and declining real yields with 10-year Treasury at 4.25% and DXY near 98.1. Key differentiators include potential FOMC signals at the April 28-29 meeting on rate cuts versus hotter data, alongside Middle East geopolitical risks; upcoming April CPI on May 12 could sway sentiment toward higher bins if pressures endure.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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