Google Gemini models, including the latest Gemini 3.1 Pro, currently score around 37% on FrontierMath Tiers 1-3—a rigorous benchmark of unpublished, research-level math problems from Epoch AI—trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.4 at over 50% and Meta's Muse Spark at 39%. This positioning reflects stagnant progress since Gemini 3 Pro's 38% peak in early 2026, amid fierce competition where even top large language models struggle below 20% on Tier 4 open problems. Gemini Deep Think's February release boosted scientific reasoning, but no April updates have materialized. Traders eye Google I/O in May for potential Gemini 4 or successor announcements, which could drive breakthroughs via enhanced reasoning chains, though timelines often slip and novel math resists rapid scaling.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$127,692 KL.
Feb 28, 2026
40%+
92%
45%+
41%
50%+
31%
60%+
16%
$127,692 KL.
40%+
$30,444 KL.
92%
45%+
$48,284 KL.
41%
50%+
$18,709 KL.
31%
60%+
$30,255 KL.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Google Gemini models, including the latest Gemini 3.1 Pro, currently score around 37% on FrontierMath Tiers 1-3—a rigorous benchmark of unpublished, research-level math problems from Epoch AI—trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.4 at over 50% and Meta's Muse Spark at 39%. This positioning reflects stagnant progress since Gemini 3 Pro's 38% peak in early 2026, amid fierce competition where even top large language models struggle below 20% on Tier 4 open problems. Gemini Deep Think's February release boosted scientific reasoning, but no April updates have materialized. Traders eye Google I/O in May for potential Gemini 4 or successor announcements, which could drive breakthroughs via enhanced reasoning chains, though timelines often slip and novel math resists rapid scaling.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$127,692Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Google Gemini models, including the latest Gemini 3.1 Pro, currently score around 37% on FrontierMath Tiers 1-3—a rigorous benchmark of unpublished, research-level math problems from Epoch AI—trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.4 at over 50% and Meta's Muse Spark at 39%. This positioning reflects stagnant progress since Gemini 3 Pro's 38% peak in early 2026, amid fierce competition where even top large language models struggle below 20% on Tier 4 open problems. Gemini Deep Think's February release boosted scientific reasoning, but no April updates have materialized. Traders eye Google I/O in May for potential Gemini 4 or successor announcements, which could drive breakthroughs via enhanced reasoning chains, though timelines often slip and novel math resists rapid scaling.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$127,692Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google Gemini models, including the latest Gemini 3.1 Pro, currently score around 37% on FrontierMath Tiers 1-3—a rigorous benchmark of unpublished, research-level math problems from Epoch AI—trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.4 at over 50% and Meta's Muse Spark at 39%. This positioning reflects stagnant progress since Gemini 3 Pro's 38% peak in early 2026, amid fierce competition where even top large language models struggle below 20% on Tier 4 open problems. Gemini Deep Think's February release boosted scientific reasoning, but no April updates have materialized. Traders eye Google I/O in May for potential Gemini 4 or successor announcements, which could drive breakthroughs via enhanced reasoning chains, though timelines often slip and novel math resists rapid scaling.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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