Apple's established annual hardware cycle, reinforced by multiple 2026 supply-chain reports and analyst confirmations, drives the 96.5% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release this year. Recent coverage from Bloomberg and MacRumors details a split rollout in which iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models (alongside the first foldable iPhone) are slated for a September 2026 keynote and launch, consistent with prior flagship timing after the iPhone 17 series. The base iPhone 18 is expected later in spring 2027, but the Pro variants alone satisfy the resolution criteria. While technical hurdles, component shortages, or unforeseen regulatory scrutiny could theoretically shift dates, Apple's production timelines are already well advanced with no credible signals of disruption.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$116,457 KL.
$116,457 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$116,457 KL.
$116,457 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's established annual hardware cycle, reinforced by multiple 2026 supply-chain reports and analyst confirmations, drives the 96.5% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release this year. Recent coverage from Bloomberg and MacRumors details a split rollout in which iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models (alongside the first foldable iPhone) are slated for a September 2026 keynote and launch, consistent with prior flagship timing after the iPhone 17 series. The base iPhone 18 is expected later in spring 2027, but the Pro variants alone satisfy the resolution criteria. While technical hurdles, component shortages, or unforeseen regulatory scrutiny could theoretically shift dates, Apple's production timelines are already well advanced with no credible signals of disruption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Khối lượng
$116,457Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's established annual hardware cycle, reinforced by multiple 2026 supply-chain reports and analyst confirmations, drives the 96.5% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release this year. Recent coverage from Bloomberg and MacRumors details a split rollout in which iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models (alongside the first foldable iPhone) are slated for a September 2026 keynote and launch, consistent with prior flagship timing after the iPhone 17 series. The base iPhone 18 is expected later in spring 2027, but the Pro variants alone satisfy the resolution criteria. While technical hurdles, component shortages, or unforeseen regulatory scrutiny could theoretically shift dates, Apple's production timelines are already well advanced with no credible signals of disruption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$116,457Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's established annual hardware cycle, reinforced by multiple 2026 supply-chain reports and analyst confirmations, drives the 96.5% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release this year. Recent coverage from Bloomberg and MacRumors details a split rollout in which iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models (alongside the first foldable iPhone) are slated for a September 2026 keynote and launch, consistent with prior flagship timing after the iPhone 17 series. The base iPhone 18 is expected later in spring 2027, but the Pro variants alone satisfy the resolution criteria. While technical hurdles, component shortages, or unforeseen regulatory scrutiny could theoretically shift dates, Apple's production timelines are already well advanced with no credible signals of disruption.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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