Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 92% implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026, driven by credible supply chain leaks from analysts like Ming-Chi Kuo and recent reports confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max launches in September alongside Apple's first foldable iPhone. This aligns with Apple's longstanding annual fall hardware refresh cycle, bolstered by April 2026 disclosures on 2nm A20 chips, enhanced cameras, and design tweaks like a smaller Dynamic Island. While the base iPhone 18 appears delayed to spring 2027, the Pro models satisfy lineup expectations. Realistic challenges include production slips—such as the foldable's mass production shift to August—regulatory hurdles for new modem tech, or macroeconomic pressures disrupting timelines.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$85,192 KL.
$85,192 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$85,192 KL.
$85,192 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 92% implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026, driven by credible supply chain leaks from analysts like Ming-Chi Kuo and recent reports confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max launches in September alongside Apple's first foldable iPhone. This aligns with Apple's longstanding annual fall hardware refresh cycle, bolstered by April 2026 disclosures on 2nm A20 chips, enhanced cameras, and design tweaks like a smaller Dynamic Island. While the base iPhone 18 appears delayed to spring 2027, the Pro models satisfy lineup expectations. Realistic challenges include production slips—such as the foldable's mass production shift to August—regulatory hurdles for new modem tech, or macroeconomic pressures disrupting timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Khối lượng
$85,192Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 92% implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026, driven by credible supply chain leaks from analysts like Ming-Chi Kuo and recent reports confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max launches in September alongside Apple's first foldable iPhone. This aligns with Apple's longstanding annual fall hardware refresh cycle, bolstered by April 2026 disclosures on 2nm A20 chips, enhanced cameras, and design tweaks like a smaller Dynamic Island. While the base iPhone 18 appears delayed to spring 2027, the Pro models satisfy lineup expectations. Realistic challenges include production slips—such as the foldable's mass production shift to August—regulatory hurdles for new modem tech, or macroeconomic pressures disrupting timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$85,192Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 92% implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026, driven by credible supply chain leaks from analysts like Ming-Chi Kuo and recent reports confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max launches in September alongside Apple's first foldable iPhone. This aligns with Apple's longstanding annual fall hardware refresh cycle, bolstered by April 2026 disclosures on 2nm A20 chips, enhanced cameras, and design tweaks like a smaller Dynamic Island. While the base iPhone 18 appears delayed to spring 2027, the Pro models satisfy lineup expectations. Realistic challenges include production slips—such as the foldable's mass production shift to August—regulatory hurdles for new modem tech, or macroeconomic pressures disrupting timelines.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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