Apple's established annual flagship release cadence, with Pro models historically launching in September, underpins the 96.5% implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Recent supply-chain reports and credible leaks confirm that iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and the first foldable iPhone remain on track for a fall 2026 debut alongside expected hardware upgrades such as improved cameras and larger batteries, even as the standard iPhone 18 shifts to spring 2027. This split strategy reflects production prioritization rather than outright cancellation. Traders assign low odds to major disruptions like regulatory blocks or severe technical setbacks, given Apple's track record of meeting fall timelines for high-end devices despite evolving lineups.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$116,457 KL.
$116,457 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$116,457 KL.
$116,457 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's established annual flagship release cadence, with Pro models historically launching in September, underpins the 96.5% implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Recent supply-chain reports and credible leaks confirm that iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and the first foldable iPhone remain on track for a fall 2026 debut alongside expected hardware upgrades such as improved cameras and larger batteries, even as the standard iPhone 18 shifts to spring 2027. This split strategy reflects production prioritization rather than outright cancellation. Traders assign low odds to major disruptions like regulatory blocks or severe technical setbacks, given Apple's track record of meeting fall timelines for high-end devices despite evolving lineups.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Khối lượng
$116,457Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's established annual flagship release cadence, with Pro models historically launching in September, underpins the 96.5% implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Recent supply-chain reports and credible leaks confirm that iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and the first foldable iPhone remain on track for a fall 2026 debut alongside expected hardware upgrades such as improved cameras and larger batteries, even as the standard iPhone 18 shifts to spring 2027. This split strategy reflects production prioritization rather than outright cancellation. Traders assign low odds to major disruptions like regulatory blocks or severe technical setbacks, given Apple's track record of meeting fall timelines for high-end devices despite evolving lineups.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$116,457Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's established annual flagship release cadence, with Pro models historically launching in September, underpins the 96.5% implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Recent supply-chain reports and credible leaks confirm that iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and the first foldable iPhone remain on track for a fall 2026 debut alongside expected hardware upgrades such as improved cameras and larger batteries, even as the standard iPhone 18 shifts to spring 2027. This split strategy reflects production prioritization rather than outright cancellation. Traders assign low odds to major disruptions like regulatory blocks or severe technical setbacks, given Apple's track record of meeting fall timelines for high-end devices despite evolving lineups.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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